Tracking Jacob deGrom's pursuit of history

As Jacob deGrom continues his historic 2021 season, we¡¯re keeping track of his chances at breaking three notable ERA records, as well as other fun facts and stats.

First, there¡¯s Dutch Leonard¡¯s 0.96 mark from 1914, the lowest ERA by a qualified pitcher in a single season since earned runs became official in both leagues (1913). That, however, was before the Live Ball Era (since 1920), when baseball¡¯s offensive landscape looked quite different.

Second, there¡¯s Bob Gibson¡¯s 1.12 ERA from 1968, The Year of the Pitcher. That¡¯s the live-ball record and the ERA mark that is most often thought of when considering potential records -- and it¡¯s the second-lowest official ERA behind only Leonard¡¯s.

There¡¯s also Dwight Gooden¡¯s 1.53 ERA from 1985, which is worth noting as it¡¯s the closest anyone has come to Gibson¡¯s mark since his ¡®68 campaign was complete and the mound was lowered.

? deGrom has no speed limit on heater

Through July 7: 1.08 ERA through 15th start of season

deGrom's ERA is finally above 1.00 through a start for the first time all season. That's still the lowest by any pitcher in his first 15 appearances of a season, all starts, since earned runs became official.

Chasing those three marks

Through 15 starts, Gooden was at 1.66 in '85 and Gibson was at 1.21. Leonard was at 0.79 through 15 appearances, 12 of them starts.

Both Gooden and Gibson saw their ERAs end up even lower by season's end. From his 16th start onward, Gooden made 20 starts with a 1.43 ERA. He finished at 1.53. Gibson made 19 more starts, with a 1.05 ERA, ending up at 1.12 for the year. Leonard pitched in 21 more games, 13 of them starts, and had a 1.10 ERA in those -- ending up at 0.96.

Can deGrom best Gibson?

So far this season, deGrom has averaged around 6 innings per start. He should have around 15 starts left, assuming full health. That¡¯s an additional 90 innings under his belt, which would give him 182 total on the season.

To stay under 1.12, he¡¯d need to allow no more than 22 earned runs on the season, if we are assuming that innings total of 182. He¡¯s now allowed 11 earned runs so far this year, giving him 11 to work with in those final 15 projected starts.

Other notes to watch

Entering July 7: 0.95 ERA through 14th start of season

deGrom enters his start Wednesday at Citi Field against the Brewers with an 0.95 ERA. In his 14th start, deGrom came into the night having retired 37 straight batters in the first inning, holding opponents to 1-for-39 (.026) in the opening frame. Things got off on the wrong foot right from the start, when Atlanta's Ehire Adrianza led off with a triple. Adrianza scored on a single, and Austin Riley added a two-run homer for a three-run first against deGrom.

The second inning had an auspicious beginning as well, with a double and a single. But deGrom stranded the runners, and from there, the Mets' ace was his usual self. He struck out the next four batters en route to setting down 18 in a row to finish his outing with seven innings and 14 strikeouts -- including eight in a row at one point.

Chasing those three marks

Through 14 starts, Gooden was at 1.79 in '85 and Gibson was at 1.30. Leonard was at 0.87 through 14 appearances, 11 of them starts.

Both Gooden and Gibson saw their ERAs end up even lower by season's end. From his 15th start onward, Gooden made 21 starts with a 1.35 ERA. He finished at 1.53. Gibson made 20 more starts, with a 1.00 ERA, ending up at 1.12 for the year. Leonard pitched in 22 more games, 14 of them starts, and had a 1.03 ERA in those -- ending up at 0.96.

Can deGrom best Gibson?

So far this season, deGrom has averaged around 6 innings per start. He should have around 16 starts left, assuming full health. That¡¯s an additional 96 innings under his belt, which would give him 180 total on the season.

To stay under 1.12, he¡¯d need to allow no more than 22 earned runs on the season, if we are assuming that innings total of 180. He¡¯s now allowed nine earned runs so far this year, giving him 13 to work with in those final 16 projected starts.

Other notes to watch

Entering July 1: 0.69 ERA through 13th start of season

For the first time in 2021, deGrom allowed multiple earned runs in a game when the Phillies scored twice off him in six innings. The only other game in which he allowed more than a run was his third start of the season, when the Rockies scored three unearned runs against him.

Chasing those three marks

Through 13 starts, Gooden was at 1.67 in '85 and Gibson was at 1.40. Leonard was at 0.85 through 13 appearances, 10 of them starts.

Both Gooden and Gibson saw their ERAs end up even lower by season's end. From his 14th start onward, Gooden made 22 starts with a 1.45 ERA. He finished at 1.53. Gibson made 21 more starts, with a 0.95 ERA, ending up at 1.12 for the year. Leonard pitched in 23 more games, 15 of them starts, and had a 1.03 ERA in those -- ending up at 0.96.

Can deGrom best Gibson?

So far this season, deGrom has averaged around 6 innings per start. He should have around 17 starts left, assuming full health. That¡¯s an additional 102 innings under his belt, which would give him 180 total on the season.

To stay under 1.12, he¡¯d need to allow no more than 22 earned runs on the season, if we are assuming that innings total of 180. He¡¯s allowed just six earned runs so far this year, giving him 16 to work with in those final 17 projected starts.

Other notes to watch

Entering June 26: 0.50 ERA through 12th start of season

deGrom did not allow a run, yet again, in his 12th start against the Braves. He now has an 0.50 ERA, the lowest by any pitcher through his first 12 starts of a season since earned runs became official.

Chasing those three marks

Through 12 starts, Gooden was at 1.72 in ¡®85 and Gibson was at 1.52. Leonard was at 0.72 through 12 appearances, nine of them starts.

Both Gooden and Gibson saw their ERAs end up even lower by season's end. From his 13th start onward, Gooden made 23 starts with a 1.43 ERA. He finished at 1.53. Gibson made 22 more starts, with a 0.91 ERA, ending up at 1.12 for the year. Leonard pitched in 24 more games, 16 of them starts, and had a 1.08 ERA in those -- ending up at 0.96.

Can deGrom best Gibson?

So far this season, deGrom has averaged around 6 innings per start. He should have around 18 starts left, assuming full health. That¡¯s an additional 108 innings under his belt, which would give him 180 total on the season.

To stay under 1.12, he¡¯d need to allow no more than 22 earned runs on the season, if we are assuming that innings total of 180. He¡¯s allowed just four earned runs so far this year, giving him 18 to work with in those final 18 projected starts.

Other notes to watch

Entering June 21: 0.54 ERA through 11th start of season

deGrom did not allow a run in his 11th start, which ended after three innings due to injury. He now has an 0.54 ERA, the lowest by any pitcher through his first 11 starts of a season since earned runs became official. That's what he'll enter his 12th start of the season Monday at Citi Field against the Braves with.

Chasing those three marks

Through 11 starts, Gooden was at 1.79 in ¡®85 and Gibson was at 1.66. Leonard was at 0.50 through 11 appearances, but that doesn¡¯t negate deGrom¡¯s aforementioned record, as Leonard made three relief appearances among his first 11 outings.

Both Gooden and Gibson saw their ERAs end up even lower by season's end. From his 12th start onward, Gooden made 24 starts with a 1.41 ERA. He finished at 1.53. Gibson made 23 more starts, with a 0.87 ERA, ending up at 1.12 for the year. Leonard pitched in 25 more games, 17 of them starts, and had a 1.18 ERA in those -- ending up at 0.96.

Can deGrom best Gibson?

So far this season, deGrom has averaged around 6 innings per start. He should have around 19 starts left, assuming full health. That¡¯s an additional 114 innings under his belt, which would give him 181 total on the season.

To stay under 1.12, he¡¯d need to allow no more than 22 earned runs on the season, if we are assuming that innings total of 181. He¡¯s allowed just four earned runs so far this year, giving him 18 to work with in those final 19 projected starts.

Other notes to watch

Entering June 16: 0.56 ERA through 10th start of season

deGrom did not allow a run of any kind in his 10th start and now has an 0.56 ERA, the lowest by any pitcher through his first 10 starts of a season since earned runs became official (min. 50 IP). That's what he'll enter his 11th start of the season Wednesday at Citi Field against the Cubs with.

Chasing those three marks

Through 10 starts, Gooden was at 1.89 in ¡®85 and Gibson was at 1.52. Leonard was at 0.52, but that doesn¡¯t negate deGrom¡¯s aforementioned record, as Leonard made three relief appearances among his first 10 outings.

Both Gooden and Gibson saw their ERAs end up even lower by season's end. From his 11th start onward, Gooden made 25 starts with a 1.39 ERA. He finished at 1.53. Gibson made 24 more starts, with a 0.96 ERA, ending up at 1.12 for the year. Leonard pitched in 26 more games, 18 of them starts, and had a 1.15 ERA in those -- ending up at 0.96.

Can deGrom best Gibson?

So far this season, deGrom has averaged around 6 1/3 innings per start. He should have around 20 starts left, assuming full health. That¡¯s an additional 126 2/3 innings under his belt, which would give him 190 2/3 total on the season.

To stay under 1.12, he¡¯d need to allow no more than 23 earned runs on the season, if we are assuming that innings total of 190 2/3. He¡¯s allowed just four earned runs so far this year, giving him 19 to work with in those final 20 projected starts.

Other notes to watch

Entering June 11: 0.62 ERA before 10th start of season

deGrom enters his start against the Padres at Citi Field with an 0.62 ERA, the lowest by any pitcher through his first nine starts of a season since earned runs have become official (min. 40 IP).

Chasing those three marks

Through nine starts, Gooden was at 1.69 in ¡®85 and Gibson was at 1.34. Leonard was at 0.53, but that doesn¡¯t negate deGrom¡¯s aforementioned record, as Leonard made two relief appearances among his first nine outings.

? The 3 ways deGrom has gotten even better

That means both Gooden and Gibson actually saw their ERAs go down the rest of the way. From his 10th start onward, Gooden made 26 starts with a 1.48 ERA to finish at 1.53. Gibson made 25 more starts, posting a 1.04 ERA in those and ending up at 1.12. Leonard pitched in 27 more games, 18 of them starts, with a 1.15 ERA in them, ending up at 0.96.

Can deGrom best Gibson?

With all due respect to Mr. Leonard, the number on everyone's minds is Gibson¡¯s 1.12. So, can deGrom really do it? So far this season, he¡¯s averaged around 6 1/3 innings per start. Including Friday, he would have around 21 starts left, assuming full health. That¡¯s an additional 133 innings under his belt, which would give him 191 total on the season.

To stay under 1.12, he¡¯d need to allow no more than 23 earned runs on the season, if we are assuming that innings total of 191. He¡¯s allowed just four ER so far this year, giving him 19 to work with in those final 21 projected starts.

Other notes to watch

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