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Diez jugadores listos para dar un salto en el 2024
Diez jugadores listos para dar un salto en el 2024
29 de febrero de 2024
MLB.com
?Cu¨¢les jugadores dar¨¢n un salto hacia adelante en el 2024? ?Qu¨¦ queremos decir con eso? Hablamos de revelaciones: Jugadores que est¨¢n listos para dar un paso significativo y convertir el potencial en realidad. Nuestro panel de MLB.com seleccion¨® a 10 j¨®venes, cinco bateadores y cinco lanzadores, que est¨¢n listos para conseguirlo.
Estos jugadores fueron prospectos de renombre y ya han experimentado cierto ¨¦xito en las Grandes Ligas, a veces destellos, a veces durante un per¨ªodo prolongado. Ahora lleg¨® la hora de ponerlo todo junto y ascender al estrellato.
Aqu¨ª tienes 10 candidatos para convertirse en revelaci¨®n en el 2024.
BATEADORES
La definici¨®n de lo que constituye una revelaci¨®n est¨¢ abierta a interpretaci¨®n. Pero cada uno de estos cinco bateadores cumple con los siguientes criterios:
Jug¨® la temporada 2024 con 27 a?os o menos
Tuvo al menos 300 visitas al plato en el 2023
No alcanz¨® ni un OPS+ de 120 ni un WAR de 3.0
1) CJ Abrams, SS, Nacionales
Estad¨ªstica clave: 47 robos en 51 intentos en el 2023
Es f¨¢cil olvidar lo joven que sigue siendo Abrams, porque acaba de cumplir 23 a?os en diciembre, y robarse 47 bases de 51 intentos es correr a nivel ¨¦lite. Pero ?qu¨¦ hay del bate? Podr¨ªas ver su 2023 como A) poco impresionante, porque un OPS+ de 95 est¨¢ por debajo del promedio, o B) un gran avance, porque tuvo un OPS+ de 75 a los 21 a?os la campa?a anterior. Estamos tomando de forma cautelosa la mejora que mostr¨® en su disciplina en el plato (tasa de swing a pitcheos en bola de 41% en abril, 29% en septiembre) y hubo algunos avances muy prometedores con respecto a su capacidad para reconocer los pitcheos. Incluso una continuaci¨®n menor de esa tendencia lo convertir¨ªa en un bateador muy valioso; de nuevo, tiene solo 23 a?os.
-- Mike Petriello
2) Spencer Torkelson, 1B, Tigres
Estad¨ªstica clave: 16 jonrones en sus ¨²ltimos 48 juegos del 2023
Despu¨¦s de registrar un OPS de .649 en sus primeros 221 juegos en las Grandes Ligas, Torkelson finalmente encontr¨® el ritmo que convenci¨® a los Tigres de seleccionarlo como el n¨²mero uno en el Draft de MLB del 2020. El primera base salv¨® su segunda temporada en la Gran Carpa con un cierre a toda m¨¢quina, bateando 16 cuadrangulares con un OPS de .921 en sus ¨²ltimos 48 desaf¨ªos. Torkelson termin¨® ubic¨¢ndose en el percentil 94 en tasa de batazos duros y empatando en el s¨¦ptimo lugar con 62 macetazos, lo que sugiere que podr¨ªa haber muchos vuelacercas por venir en el 2024.
-- Thomas Harrigan
3) Elly de La Cruz, INF, Rojos
Estad¨ªstica clave: Velocidad m¨¢xima de salida de 119.2 mph siendo un novato
En ciertos aspectos, Elly sobresali¨® el a?o pasado, acumulando 13 bambinazos y 35 bases robadas en 98 duelos como novato, mientras acumulaba haza?as impresionantes como pulverizar una pelota a 119.2 mph (la tercera velocidad de salida m¨¢s alta de la temporada a nivel de MLB) y lanzar una a 99.8 mph (la asistencia en el infield m¨¢s r¨¢pida rastreada por Statcast). En otros aspectos, el bateador ambidiestro dominicano mostr¨® fallos, como una tasa de ponches del 33.7%, que necesitar¨¢ mejorar si va a traducir herramientas brutas excepcionales en habilidades leg¨ªtimas. Solo tiene 22 a?os, as¨ª que la esperanza es que De La Cruz contin¨²e haciendo ajustes como lo hizo mientras avanzaba r¨¢pidamente por las ligas menores.
-- Jason Catania
4) Josh Jung, 3B, Rangers
Estad¨ªstica clave: OPS de .867 en la postemporada
Jung fue al Juego de Estrellas en su campa?a de novato el a?o pasado, lo cual es bastante bueno por s¨ª solo, pero la verdadera explosi¨®n est¨¢ a¨²n por llegar. Podr¨ªa haber ocurrido ya si la segunda mitad de Jung no hubiera sido interrumpida por un pulgar roto en agosto. Pero la actuaci¨®n en postemporada del jugador de 26 a?os - bate¨® .308 con tres jonrones y un OPS de .867 para los campeones de la Serie Mundial - deber¨ªa ayudarte a convencerte de que el Jung que ten¨ªa 19 vuelacercas y un OPS+ de 126 para la pausa del All-Star es el verdadero Jung. Especialmente cuando ves que tambi¨¦n golpea la pelota con fuerza y en el lugar ¨®ptimo de ¨¢ngulo de salida con m¨¢s frecuencia que la mayor¨ªa de los bateadores de las Grandes Ligas. Oh, y adem¨¢s juega una excelente tercera base.
-- David Adler
5) Jordan Walker, RF, Cardenles
Estad¨ªstica clave: L¨ªnea de .304/.363/.490 en sep./oct.
La visi¨®n pesimista podr¨ªa ver el 2023 de Walker como una decepci¨®n para un prospecto ¨¦lite, dada ese WAR de nivel de reemplazo. Sin embargo, si ampliamos la perspectiva, la imagen es m¨¢s positiva para el joven que pronto cumplir¨¢ 22 a?os. La mayor¨ªa de los jugadores que batean tan bien como lo hizo Walker (OPS+ de 114) como regulares en las Mayores a esa edad terminan siendo estrellas. El jugador de 6 pies y 6 pulgadas puede golpear la pelota casi tan bien como cualquiera, y su tasa de rodados en picada (56.9% hasta junio, solo 41.6% despu¨¦s) sugiere que habr¨¢ m¨¢s producci¨®n por venir. El mayor problema de Walker en 2023 fue su defensiva en el jard¨ªn derecho, algo comprensible trat¨¢ndose de un tercera base natural. Pero con trabajo duro y m¨¢s experiencia, Walker (velocidad de sprint en el percentil 80) tiene la capacidad atl¨¦tica para adaptarse r¨¢pidamente.
-- Andrew Simon
PITCHERS
Para estos cinco lanzadores, los criterios fueron similares a los anteriores:
Jugar¨¢n la temporada 2024 con 27 a?os o menos
75 o m¨¢s innings lanzados en el 2023
No alcanzaron ni una EFE+ de 120 ni un WAR de 3.0
1) Grayson Rodr¨ªguez, LD, Orioles
Estad¨ªstica clave: EFE de 2.58 en 13 aperturas tras ser subido desde Triple-A
La forma m¨¢s f¨¢cil de elegir una revelaci¨®n es encontrar a un jugador que ya haya mostrado destellos de ello, y Rodr¨ªguez ciertamente califica. La selecci¨®n n¨²mero 11 en el Draft del 2018 tuvo dificultades en su debut en el 2023, llevando una efectividad de 7.35 cuando fue bajado de regreso a Triple-A en mayo. Dos meses despu¨¦s, regres¨®, y le fue genial, permitiendo apenas una l¨ªnea de .227/.284/.306 en sus ¨²ltimas 13 aperturas. A¨²n mejor, sabemos exactamente qu¨¦ cambi¨®, lo cual es importante cuando quieres saber por qu¨¦ han mejorado los resultados. Su efectividad global de 4.35 en el 2023 no destacar¨¢, pero entre los abridores que enfrentaron a 200 bateadores despu¨¦s de su regreso, solo 11 fueron mejores. La revelaci¨®n no est¨¢ por venir. Ya ha comenzado.
-- Mike Petriello
2) Bobby Miller, LD, Dodgers
Estad¨ªstica clave: Velocidad promedio de 98.9 mph con sus rectas (4 costuras/sinker)
Los Dodgers tienen a Yoshinobu Yamamoto y Tyler Glasnow en el equipo y eventualmente recuperar¨¢n tanto a Walker Buehler como a Clayton Kershaw cuando superen sus respectivas lesiones, pero no es descabellado pensar que Miller podr¨ªa ser su mejor abridor en el 2024. Su arsenal ¨C que incluye un par de bolas r¨¢pidas que regularmente alcanzan las tres cifras ¨C es sencillamente impresionante. Tambi¨¦n ayuda que ya haya disfrutado de cierto nivel de ¨¦xito en las Grandes Ligas, terminando su temporada de novato con una efectividad de 3.76, un FIP de 3.51 y una relaci¨®n de ponches/bases por bolas de 3.72 en 124.1 innings.
-- Thomas Harrigan
3) Hunter Greene, LD, Rojos
Estad¨ªstica clave: 54 ponches con rectas de 100 mph o m¨¢s de por vida
Entre De La Cruz y Greene, estamos bien entusiasmados con los j¨®venes Rojos este a?o. A pesar de ser la selecci¨®n n¨²mero 2 en el 2017 y tener un incre¨ªble brazo, Greene posee una efectividad de 4.62 y un WHIP de 1.31 como jugador de Grandes Ligas y ha sufrido con las lesiones. Sin embargo, en solo 46 aperturas en su carrera, ha registrado la mayor cantidad de ponches (54) con lanzamientos de 100 mph o m¨¢s de todos los abridores en la era del seguimiento de pitcheos (desde 2008). Adem¨¢s, el jugador de 24 a?os tiene una tasa vitalicia de ponches por cada nueve actos de 12.0 y est¨¢ trabajando en agregar una curva y un splitter a su repertorio. Si domina al menos uno de esos env¨ªos secundarios y se mantiene saludable, Greene est¨¢ listo para convertir el potencial en dominio constante.
-- Jason Catania
4) Hunter Brown, LD, Astros
Estad¨ªstica clave: 10.3 K/9, tasa de ponches del 26.8% en el 2023
Brown, tambi¨¦n conocido como Mini Justin Verlander, no lanz¨® en el 2023 exactamente como su compa?ero de rotaci¨®n y tres veces ganador del Cy Young. Brown tuvo una efectividad de 5.09 en 31 juegos (29 aperturas), pero hay razones para creer que su desempe?o en el 2024 se parecer¨¢ m¨¢s a su debut dominante a finales del 2022¡ y m¨¢s a Verlander.
Por un lado, la cantidad de ponches de Brown es muy alentadora: sum¨® 178 K en 155.2 innings el a?o pasado. Y el arsenal del diestro de 25 a?os respalda ese promedio de 10.3 ponches por cada nueve entradas. La recta de Brown promedia 96 mph con una elevaci¨®n por encima del promedio, su slider promedia 91 mph, su curva cae cinco pulgadas m¨¢s que una curva promedio y tambi¨¦n tiene un buen splitter.
-- David Adler
5) Brandon Pfaadt, RHP, D-backs Key stat: 3.27 ERA in 5 postseason starts in 2023
Despite his 5.72 ERA as a rookie, one could argue that Pfaadt already broke out. After taking some serious lumps early on, and enduring a couple of demotions, he returned to the D-backs' rotation on July 22, and over the rest of the regular season (11 games, 10 starts, 58 2/3 innings), he posted a 4.14 ERA, 3.89 FIP and 64-to-15 strikeout-to-walk ratio. That earned Pfaadt a spot in Arizona¡¯s postseason rotation, and he more than held his own during the team's run to the World Series.