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Yankees vs. Reales en la SDLA: Una comparaci車n por posici車n

5 de octubre de 2024

Los Yankees han pasado gran parte de la temporada siendo el &Goliat* de la Liga Americana, en su camino a ganar 94 juegos y anotar 815 carreras. Y ahora, tendr芍n que medirse ante uno de los equipos sorpresa del 2024 en la Serie Divisional de la Liga Americana.

Los Reales despegaron despu谷s de ganar apenas 56 encuentros el a?o pasado a sumar 86 triunfos en el 2024, y luego de barrer a un s車lido conjunto de los Orioles en la Serie del Comod赤n, el equipo llega inspirado a este enfrentamiento, de la mano de su joven superestrella Bobby Witt Jr.

Aaron Judge, el dominicano Juan Soto y los Bombarderos del Bronx intimidan a cualquiera, considerando adem芍s que el duelo iniciar芍 en el Yankee Stadium.

A continuaci車n, una mirada de c車mo se comparan los Yankees (94-68) con los Reales (86-76), posici車n por posici車n.

C芍tcher

El bate de Austin Wells se apag車 un poco en la recta final, bateando apenas .111 con OPS de .411 en septiembre, pero de cualquier manera termin車 con una s車lida temporada de novato y sigue impresionando por sus habilidades defensivas. Con apenas 25 a?os, Wells seguramente tendr芍 muchas oportunidades m芍s en los playoffs, pero actualmente el venezolano de 34 a?os, Salvador P谷rez, sigue siendo uno de los mejores caretas del juego.

P谷rez bate車 .271 con 27 jonrones y OPS de .786 este a?o, y aunque cubri車 la inicial m芍s a menudo, estar芍 detr芍s del plato en la postemporada. El JMV de la Serie Mundial del 2015 ha esperado una d谷cada para tener otra oportunidad.

Ventaja: Reales

Primera base

El panorama cambi車 dr芍sticamente cuando Anthony Rizzo recibi車 un bolazo que le fractur車 dos dedos el 迆ltimo fin de semana de la temporada regular. Esto le abre la puerta a Ben Rice, quien estaba en las instalaciones primaveras de los Yankees en ese momento. El venezolano Oswaldo Cabrera es otra de las opciones.

La situaci車n de la primera base de los Reales tambi谷n es complicada. Vinnie Pasquantino regres車 en la Serie del Comod赤n como bateador designado, dejando al cubano Yuli Gurriel en la posici車n. Este podr赤a ser el 迆ltimo playoffs de Gurriel, quien con 40 a?os, cuenta con experiencia de 88 encuentros de postemporada. De igual manera, si los Yankees consiguen un balance con Rice y Cabrera, podr赤an tener la ventaja aqu赤.

Ventaja: Yankees

Segunda base

Esta posici車n est芍 cerrada. Michael Massey ha sido el principal intermedista de los Reales y jug車 bien en la Serie del Comod赤n, y谷ndose de 8-3. El venezolano Gleyber Torres bate車 .257 con un porcentaje de embasado de .330, y aporta experiencia de 31 encuentros de postemporada. Sin embargo, Massey aporta una mejor defensa en algunas categor赤as.

Ventaja: Reales

Campo corto

Witt viene de una brillante temporada regular con los Reales, estableci谷ndose como una de las mayores estrellas de la liga. El ca?onero bate車 .332 con 32 jonrones, 31 bases robadas y OPS de .977, para un WAR (FanGraphs) de 10.4.

Witt tiene la oportunidad de ser la estrella de la postemporada si los Reales llegan lejos. Anthony Volpe dio un paso hacia adelante defensivamente este a?o, y su velocidad podr赤a ser un factor en la serie, pero es dif赤cil competir contra Witt.

Ventaja: Reales

Tercera base

Jazz Chisholm Jr. est芍 encantado con Nueva York, y hasta ahora, Nueva York est芍 encantado con 谷l. Chisholm empalm車 11 jonrones y dej車 OPS de .825 en apenas 46 juegos despu谷s de ser cambiado desde los Marlins. Tambi谷n luci車 un buen guante en la esquina caliente, y cuando tomas en cuenta la velocidad, Jazz es otro de los jugadores que podr赤a marcar una diferencia para los Yankees.

Los Reales se inclinaron con el venezolano Maikel Garc赤a en la tercera base en la Serie del Comod赤n, y aunque sus n迆meros ofensivos no son deslumbrantes, termin車 de 39-37 en intentos de robo de bases.

Ventaja: Yankees

Jard赤n izquierdo

Esta parece ser una posici車n fluida para ambos conjuntos. El puertorrique?o MJ Mel谷ndez fue el titular de los Reales en la Serie del Comod赤n, pero Tommy Pham se presenta como otra opci車n. El boricua apenas bate車 .206 en el a?o, pero en ocasiones demostr車 su poder, empalmando 17 bambinazos.

Del otro lado, Nueva York cuenta con el dominicano Jasson Domm赤nguez y con Alex Verdugo para la posici車n. El quisqueyano ofrece un mayor techo ofensivo, mientras que Verdugo es visto como un mejor guante.

Ventaja: Yankees

Jard赤n central

Mira, vamos a hacer esto simple: Uno de estos equipos cuenta con Judge y el otro no.

Judge es el favorito para ganar el Premio JMV de la L.A. por muchas razones, incluyendo el hecho de haber dado 58 jonrones, impulsado 144 carreras y dejado un OPS de 1.159. Eso, junto a un WAR de 11.2, son n迆meros de videojuego.

Claro, hay que tomar en cuenta lo que ha hecho Judge en la postemporada, en donde registra OPS de .772 en 44 juegos. Pero Judge puede arreglar eso con unos cuantos swings.

Kyle Isbel estar芍 por Kansas City, y aunque llega como un excelente defensor, su OPS de .654 en la temporada regular palidece ante el de Judge.

Ventaja: Yankees

Jard赤n derecho

Soto lleg車 y conquist車 Nueva York. Est芍 a punto de ser la historia central del receso de temporada, siendo uno de los agentes libres m芍s atractivos en la historia del b谷isbol. Pero eso ser芍 en unas semanas.

Soto domin車 en su primer a?o con los Yankees, empalmando 41 vuelacercas y embas芍ndose con un promedio de .419.

Los Reales utilizaron a Pham y Hunter Renfroe en la Serie del Comod赤n. Posiblemente esa siga siendo la estrategia, de acuerdo a cu芍l sea el mejor enfrentamiento con el lanzador del d赤a.

Ventaja: Yankees

Bateador designado

Pasquantino ingres車 al roster de la Serie del Comod赤n apenas cuatro semanas despu谷s de haberse sometido a una cirug赤a para reparar el pulgar derecho. El ca?onero tuvo una s車lida campa?a regular, bateando .262 con 19 jonrones y OPS de .761.

Los Yankees cuentan aqu赤 con el veterano Giancarlo Stanton. Parec赤a que el toletero estaba perdiendo fuerza en algunas ocasiones de los 迆ltimos a?os, pero a sus 34 a?os, Stanton disfrut車 de una gran campa?a, en la que se vol車 la cerca en 27 ocasiones, con OPS de .773. Cualquiera con 429 cuadrangulares de por vida sabe lo que est芍 haciendo. Sin embargo, nos vamos con Pasquantino por aportar un mayor contacto.

Ventaja: Reales

Pitcheo abridor

Los Yankees esperan ir con Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rod車n y el dominicano Luis Gil, en cualquier orden. Cole dej車 efectividad de 3.41 en 95 innings, luego de ver retrasado su inicio de temprada, y cuenta con m芍s de 100 innings de experiencia en playoffs. Es un grupo s車lido y es dif赤cil ir en contra de Cole, pero los Reales tienen la ventaja cuando se trata de profundidad de abridores de calidad.

Cole Ragans y Seth Lugo podr赤an estar entre los cinco primeros en la votaci車n por el Premio Cy Young, y ambos lucieron fant芍sticos en la Serie del Comod赤n. Ragans lanz車 el martes y Lugo el mi谷rcoles, pero tiraron apenas 80 y 82 pelotas, respectivamente, as赤 que deber赤an estar frescos para cuando les llegue su turno en la SDLA. Cuando agregas a Brady Singer y a Michael Wacha a la ecuaci車n, la rotaci車n de los Reales estuvo espectacular en la temporada regular, mientras que la efectividad combinada de 3.55 de los lanzadores abridores s車lo fue superada por la de los Marineros.

Ventaja: Reales

Bullpen

El relevo de los Reales no fue la fortaleza del club de ninguna manera, finalizando la campa?a en el puesto n迆mero 20 en las Mayores con una efectividad combinada de 4.13, pero hay que resaltar que este grupo ha lucido mucho mejor 迆ltimamente, y viene de completar 7.2 innings en blanco con ocho ponches en la Serie del Comod赤n. Adicionalmente, el bullpen dej車 un porcentaje de carreras limpias de 1.73 en casi 90 cap赤tulos, desde el 4 de agosto. Lucas Erceg ha sido el llamado para el noveno inning cuando se le ha necesitado.

Los n迆meros de los Yankees como grupo lucen mejores, con la efectividad combinada del bullpen de 3.62 ubic芍ndose en el sexto lugar en las Mayores este a?o. Para los 迆ltimos innings, Nueva York cuenta con Clay Holmes, Luke Weaver y Tommy Kahnle.

Ventaja: Yankees

Predicci車n

Es una serie al mejor de cinco juegos. Usualmente estos enfrentamientos se deciden con un gran momento o un solo juego. A veces, podr赤a ser un error o un mal rebote. Pero si miramos la cantidad de jugadores que pudieran protagonizar uno de esos momentos clave, entonces hay que irse con los Yankees.

Judge y Soto son una de las mejores duplas del b谷isbol, pero Witt puede ponerse a esa altura tambi谷n, y la rotaci車n de los Reales, liderada por Lugo y Ragans, es tan profunda como talentosa. Los Reales podr赤an hacer de esta una serie interesante, pero los Yankees tienen las mayores ventajas.

Predicci車n: Yankees en cinco

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