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Diez jugadores listos para dar un salto en el 2024

29 de febrero de 2024

?Cu¨¢les jugadores dar¨¢n un salto hacia adelante en el 2024? ?Qu¨¦ queremos decir con eso? Hablamos de revelaciones: Jugadores que est¨¢n listos para dar un paso significativo y convertir el potencial en realidad. Nuestro panel de MLB.com seleccion¨® a 10 j¨®venes, cinco bateadores y cinco lanzadores, que est¨¢n listos para conseguirlo.

Estos jugadores fueron prospectos de renombre y ya han experimentado cierto ¨¦xito en las Grandes Ligas, a veces destellos, a veces durante un per¨ªodo prolongado. Ahora lleg¨® la hora de ponerlo todo junto y ascender al estrellato.

Aqu¨ª tienes 10 candidatos para convertirse en revelaci¨®n en el 2024.

BATEADORES

  • La definici¨®n de lo que constituye una revelaci¨®n est¨¢ abierta a interpretaci¨®n. Pero cada uno de estos cinco bateadores cumple con los siguientes criterios:
  • Jug¨® la temporada 2024 con 27 a?os o menos
  • Tuvo al menos 300 visitas al plato en el 2023
  • No alcanz¨® ni un OPS+ de 120 ni un WAR de 3.0

1) CJ Abrams, SS, Nacionales

Estad¨ªstica clave: 47 robos en 51 intentos en el 2023

Es f¨¢cil olvidar lo joven que sigue siendo Abrams, porque acaba de cumplir 23 a?os en diciembre, y robarse 47 bases de 51 intentos es correr a nivel ¨¦lite. Pero ?qu¨¦ hay del bate? Podr¨ªas ver su 2023 como A) poco impresionante, porque un OPS+ de 95 est¨¢ por debajo del promedio, o B) un gran avance, porque tuvo un OPS+ de 75 a los 21 a?os la campa?a anterior. Estamos tomando de forma cautelosa la mejora que mostr¨® en su disciplina en el plato (tasa de swing a pitcheos en bola de 41% en abril, 29% en septiembre) y hubo algunos avances muy prometedores con respecto a su capacidad para reconocer los pitcheos. Incluso una continuaci¨®n menor de esa tendencia lo convertir¨ªa en un bateador muy valioso; de nuevo, tiene solo 23 a?os.

-- Mike Petriello

2) Spencer Torkelson, 1B, Tigres

Estad¨ªstica clave: 16 jonrones en sus ¨²ltimos 48 juegos del 2023

Despu¨¦s de registrar un OPS de .649 en sus primeros 221 juegos en las Grandes Ligas, Torkelson finalmente encontr¨® el ritmo que convenci¨® a los Tigres de seleccionarlo como el n¨²mero uno en el Draft de MLB del 2020. El primera base salv¨® su segunda temporada en la Gran Carpa con un cierre a toda m¨¢quina, bateando 16 cuadrangulares con un OPS de .921 en sus ¨²ltimos 48 desaf¨ªos. Torkelson termin¨® ubic¨¢ndose en el percentil 94 en tasa de batazos duros y empatando en el s¨¦ptimo lugar con 62 macetazos, lo que sugiere que podr¨ªa haber muchos vuelacercas por venir en el 2024.

-- Thomas Harrigan

3) Elly de La Cruz, INF, Rojos

Estad¨ªstica clave: Velocidad m¨¢xima de salida de 119.2 mph siendo un novato

En ciertos aspectos, Elly sobresali¨® el a?o pasado, acumulando 13 bambinazos y 35 bases robadas en 98 duelos como novato, mientras acumulaba haza?as impresionantes como pulverizar una pelota a 119.2 mph (la tercera velocidad de salida m¨¢s alta de la temporada a nivel de MLB) y lanzar una a 99.8 mph (la asistencia en el infield m¨¢s r¨¢pida rastreada por Statcast). En otros aspectos, el bateador ambidiestro dominicano mostr¨® fallos, como una tasa de ponches del 33.7%, que necesitar¨¢ mejorar si va a traducir herramientas brutas excepcionales en habilidades leg¨ªtimas. Solo tiene 22 a?os, as¨ª que la esperanza es que De La Cruz contin¨²e haciendo ajustes como lo hizo mientras avanzaba r¨¢pidamente por las ligas menores.

-- Jason Catania

4) Josh Jung, 3B, Rangers

Estad¨ªstica clave: OPS de .867 en la postemporada

Jung fue al Juego de Estrellas en su campa?a de novato el a?o pasado, lo cual es bastante bueno por s¨ª solo, pero la verdadera explosi¨®n est¨¢ a¨²n por llegar. Podr¨ªa haber ocurrido ya si la segunda mitad de Jung no hubiera sido interrumpida por un pulgar roto en agosto. Pero la actuaci¨®n en postemporada del jugador de 26 a?os - bate¨® .308 con tres jonrones y un OPS de .867 para los campeones de la Serie Mundial - deber¨ªa ayudarte a convencerte de que el Jung que ten¨ªa 19 vuelacercas y un OPS+ de 126 para la pausa del All-Star es el verdadero Jung. Especialmente cuando ves que tambi¨¦n golpea la pelota con fuerza y en el lugar ¨®ptimo de ¨¢ngulo de salida con m¨¢s frecuencia que la mayor¨ªa de los bateadores de las Grandes Ligas. Oh, y adem¨¢s juega una excelente tercera base.

-- David Adler

5) Jordan Walker, RF, Cardenles

Estad¨ªstica clave: L¨ªnea de .304/.363/.490 en sep./oct.

La visi¨®n pesimista podr¨ªa ver el 2023 de Walker como una decepci¨®n para un prospecto ¨¦lite, dada ese WAR de nivel de reemplazo. Sin embargo, si ampliamos la perspectiva, la imagen es m¨¢s positiva para el joven que pronto cumplir¨¢ 22 a?os. La mayor¨ªa de los jugadores que batean tan bien como lo hizo Walker (OPS+ de 114) como regulares en las Mayores a esa edad terminan siendo estrellas. El jugador de 6 pies y 6 pulgadas puede golpear la pelota casi tan bien como cualquiera, y su tasa de rodados en picada (56.9% hasta junio, solo 41.6% despu¨¦s) sugiere que habr¨¢ m¨¢s producci¨®n por venir. El mayor problema de Walker en 2023 fue su defensiva en el jard¨ªn derecho, algo comprensible trat¨¢ndose de un tercera base natural. Pero con trabajo duro y m¨¢s experiencia, Walker (velocidad de sprint en el percentil 80) tiene la capacidad atl¨¦tica para adaptarse r¨¢pidamente.

-- Andrew Simon

PITCHERS

  • Para estos cinco lanzadores, los criterios fueron similares a los anteriores:
  • Jugar¨¢n la temporada 2024 con 27 a?os o menos
  • 75 o m¨¢s innings lanzados en el 2023
  • No alcanzaron ni una EFE+ de 120 ni un WAR de 3.0

1) Grayson Rodr¨ªguez, LD, Orioles

Estad¨ªstica clave: EFE de 2.58 en 13 aperturas tras ser subido desde Triple-A

La forma m¨¢s f¨¢cil de elegir una revelaci¨®n es encontrar a un jugador que ya haya mostrado destellos de ello, y Rodr¨ªguez ciertamente califica. La selecci¨®n n¨²mero 11 en el Draft del 2018 tuvo dificultades en su debut en el 2023, llevando una efectividad de 7.35 cuando fue bajado de regreso a Triple-A en mayo. Dos meses despu¨¦s, regres¨®, y le fue genial, permitiendo apenas una l¨ªnea de .227/.284/.306 en sus ¨²ltimas 13 aperturas. A¨²n mejor, sabemos exactamente qu¨¦ cambi¨®, lo cual es importante cuando quieres saber por qu¨¦ han mejorado los resultados. Su efectividad global de 4.35 en el 2023 no destacar¨¢, pero entre los abridores que enfrentaron a 200 bateadores despu¨¦s de su regreso, solo 11 fueron mejores. La revelaci¨®n no est¨¢ por venir. Ya ha comenzado.

-- Mike Petriello

2) Bobby Miller, LD, Dodgers

Estad¨ªstica clave: Velocidad promedio de 98.9 mph con sus rectas (4 costuras/sinker)

Los Dodgers tienen a Yoshinobu Yamamoto y Tyler Glasnow en el equipo y eventualmente recuperar¨¢n tanto a Walker Buehler como a Clayton Kershaw cuando superen sus respectivas lesiones, pero no es descabellado pensar que Miller podr¨ªa ser su mejor abridor en el 2024. Su arsenal ¨C que incluye un par de bolas r¨¢pidas que regularmente alcanzan las tres cifras ¨C es sencillamente impresionante. Tambi¨¦n ayuda que ya haya disfrutado de cierto nivel de ¨¦xito en las Grandes Ligas, terminando su temporada de novato con una efectividad de 3.76, un FIP de 3.51 y una relaci¨®n de ponches/bases por bolas de 3.72 en 124.1 innings.

-- Thomas Harrigan

3) Hunter Greene, LD, Rojos

Estad¨ªstica clave: 54 ponches con rectas de 100 mph o m¨¢s de por vida

Entre De La Cruz y Greene, estamos bien entusiasmados con los j¨®venes Rojos este a?o. A pesar de ser la selecci¨®n n¨²mero 2 en el 2017 y tener un incre¨ªble brazo, Greene posee una efectividad de 4.62 y un WHIP de 1.31 como jugador de Grandes Ligas y ha sufrido con las lesiones. Sin embargo, en solo 46 aperturas en su carrera, ha registrado la mayor cantidad de ponches (54) con lanzamientos de 100 mph o m¨¢s de todos los abridores en la era del seguimiento de pitcheos (desde 2008). Adem¨¢s, el jugador de 24 a?os tiene una tasa vitalicia de ponches por cada nueve actos de 12.0 y est¨¢ trabajando en agregar una curva y un splitter a su repertorio. Si domina al menos uno de esos env¨ªos secundarios y se mantiene saludable, Greene est¨¢ listo para convertir el potencial en dominio constante.

-- Jason Catania

4) Hunter Brown, LD, Astros

Estad¨ªstica clave: 10.3 K/9, tasa de ponches del 26.8% en el 2023

Brown, tambi¨¦n conocido como Mini Justin Verlander, no lanz¨® en el 2023 exactamente como su compa?ero de rotaci¨®n y tres veces ganador del Cy Young. Brown tuvo una efectividad de 5.09 en 31 juegos (29 aperturas), pero hay razones para creer que su desempe?o en el 2024 se parecer¨¢ m¨¢s a su debut dominante a finales del 2022¡­ y m¨¢s a Verlander.

Por un lado, la cantidad de ponches de Brown es muy alentadora: sum¨® 178 K en 155.2 innings el a?o pasado. Y el arsenal del diestro de 25 a?os respalda ese promedio de 10.3 ponches por cada nueve entradas. La recta de Brown promedia 96 mph con una elevaci¨®n por encima del promedio, su slider promedia 91 mph, su curva cae cinco pulgadas m¨¢s que una curva promedio y tambi¨¦n tiene un buen splitter.

-- David Adler

5) , RHP, D-backs
Key stat: 3.27 ERA in 5 postseason starts in 2023

Despite his 5.72 ERA as a rookie, one could argue that Pfaadt already broke out. After taking some serious lumps early on, and enduring a couple of demotions, he returned to the D-backs' rotation on July 22, and over the rest of the regular season (11 games, 10 starts, 58 2/3 innings), he posted a 4.14 ERA, 3.89 FIP and 64-to-15 strikeout-to-walk ratio. That earned Pfaadt a spot in Arizona¡¯s postseason rotation, and he more than held his own during the team's run to the World Series.

Pfaadt's success came not just with experience but with real, tangible adjustments. At 25, the opportunity is ripe for Pfaadt to make that work over a full season.

-- Andrew Simon

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