In right situation, Joc may be free-agent steal

January 10th, 2021

Let¡¯s take a look at three free-agent outfielders and their batting lines since 2015 -- with one crucial caveat. This is against right-handed pitchers only.

: 2,567 PA, .273/.337/.460 (114 wRC+), 103 HR
: 2,101 PA, .239/.348/.505 (129 wRC+), 121 HR
: 2,307 PA, .271/.354/.483 (129 wRC+), 106 HR

Springer is arguably the top position player available this offseason. Ozuna is considered a premium power bat. By comparison, Pederson has been a bit of an afterthought, despite being the youngest of the three. (He¡¯ll turn 29 in April).

Why? Some of it is defense, since unlike Springer, Pederson is not really a viable center fielder at this point, although he can capably handle a corner spot. A lot of it is about recent performance, with Springer and Ozuna playing at their best in 2020, while Pederson put up the worst numbers of his career. Of course, that was in a shortened season in which he played 43 games; Pederson rebounded for a .991 OPS during the Dodgers¡¯ championship-winning playoff run.

But the other part of the equation is that Springer and Ozuna are right-handed batters, who naturally perform better against lefties. Their overall numbers are superior to those above. Pederson, who swings lefty, is perhaps MLB¡¯s most extreme platoon bat -- and one of the most extreme in the game¡¯s history.

It¡¯s a factor that complicates his case as a free agent and raises questions about how his next team will deploy him. Let¡¯s break it down.

He hasn¡¯t hit lefties

Here are Pederson¡¯s career platoon splits, including the 18 games he played when the Dodgers first called him up in September 2014. Keep in mind, a 100 wRC+ is the park-adjusted league average.

Vs. right-handers: .238/.349/.501 (128 wRC+)
Vs. left-handers: .191/.266/.310 (59 wRC+)

Since 2015, among the 281 batters who have come to the plate at least 1,000 times against righties, Pederson is tied with Springer for 28th in wRC+. But among the 287 batters with at least 350 PA against lefties, Pederson ranks 281st.

We can put that enormous gap in further context with the help of Baseball-Reference's tOPS+. It¡¯s a metric that sounds wonky but is actually pretty simple, comparing a particular split to the player¡¯s total. The lower the tOPS+, the worse the player performed in that split, in relation to how he did overall.

Lowest career tOPS+ vs. LHP
Min. 350 PA vs. LHP (past 60 seasons)

  1. Rich Becker (1993-2000): 27 tOPS+
  2. Wally Backman (1980-93): 33 tOPS+
  3. Tim Flannery (1979-89): 35 tOPS+
  4. Jimmie Hall (1963-70): 36 tOPS+
  5. David Dellucci (1997-2009): 43 tOPS+
  6. John Lowenstein (1970-85): 43 tOPS+

7) Joc Pederson (2014-20): 45 tOPS+

Few players have struggled more against left-handed pitchers than Pederson, especially in comparison with his success against righties. And his underlying numbers don¡¯t suggest it¡¯s a fluke, as Pederson¡¯s career .269 expected wOBA against lefties is among the lowest in MLB in that span.

But there¡¯s another element in play here.

He¡¯s barely gotten a chance

This is something of a chicken-and-the-egg situation. Has Pederson not faced lefties because he can¡¯t hit them, or has he not hit them in part because he rarely faces them?

It¡¯s worth noting here that Pederson did just fine against southpaws in the Minors, batting .273/.385/.428 in 605 plate appearances at that level, including rehab assignments. But as a rookie in 2015, that line sank to .216/.295/.397.

After Pederson made 23 starts with a lefty on the mound that first year, the Dodgers almost entirely stopped using him in those situations. In the past five seasons, he has made a grand total of 28 such starts, netting 277 plate appearances against southpaws (including just 12 in 2020).

During that time, no hitter with at least 1,500 total plate appearances has gotten a higher percentage of them against righties than Pederson (86.9%). No hitter with at least 50 total homers launched a higher percentage of them against righties (97.1%).

¡°That time will come when I get to start against lefties -- obviously not here, not now,¡± Pederson told The Orange County Register in 2019. ¡°I can¡¯t worry about what is to come. I know I can hit them. I haven¡¯t really faced them in like three years, so I¡¯m not really worried about it.¡±

In that story, Dodgers president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman discussed how handling Minor League lefties doesn¡¯t necessarily equate to handling Major League lefties. Then again, manager Dave Roberts may have summed up the issue by saying, ¡°That¡¯s part of the blessing and the curse of playing for a team with so much talent.¡±

The Dodgers have finished first in the NL West in every year of Pederson¡¯s career, and won the World Series in 2020, in large part because of their enviable depth. This past season, with righties Mookie Betts, A.J. Pollock, Chris Taylor, Justin Turner and Enrique Hern¨¢ndez among those available to start in the corner outfield or at DH against lefties, there was little incentive for Roberts to give Pederson a shot.

What happens next?

Theoretically, there should be plenty of interest in Pederson, given that the Steamer projections have him as a 20-top outfielder in wRC+ (118) and top 30 in WAR (2.4) next season. Pederson may not be a star, but he can be a solid contributor on a good team. On the other hand, some clubs with corner-outfield needs already have filled those, as Kyle Schwarber signed with the Nationals, Robbie Grossman with the Tigers, Adam Eaton with the White Sox and David Dahl with the Rangers. Other lefty-hitting corner bats continue to compete for attention on the free-agent market, including Michael Brantley, Eddie Rosario and Nomar Mazara.

The Astros, Braves and Cardinals are among those with outfield openings who would benefit from Pederson¡¯s power, but his extreme splits make it harder to discern a destination. Is he now pigeonholed -- fairly or not -- as a pure platoon bat?

Perhaps some team out there will give Pederson his long-awaited shot to establish himself as an everyday player. His historically tilted track record stands in the way.

seductrice.net
universo-virtual.com
buytrendz.net
thisforall.net
benchpressgains.com
qthzb.com
mindhunter9.com
dwjqp1.com
secure-signup.net
ahaayy.com
tressesindia.com
puresybian.com
krpano-chs.com
cre8workshop.com
hdkino.org
peixun021.com
qz786.com
utahperformingartscenter.org
worldqrmconference.com
shangyuwh.com
eejssdfsdfdfjsd.com
playminecraftfreeonline.com
trekvietnamtour.com
your-business-articles.com
essaywritingservice10.com
hindusamaaj.com
joggingvideo.com
wandercoups.com
wormblaster.net
tongchengchuyange0004.com
internetknowing.com
breachurch.com
peachesnginburlesque.com
dataarchitectoo.com
clientfunnelformula.com
30pps.com
cherylroll.com
ks2252.com
prowp.net
webmanicura.com
sofietsshotel.com
facetorch.com
nylawyerreview.com
apapromotions.com
shareparelli.com
goeaglepointe.com
thegreenmanpubphuket.com
karotorossian.com
publicsensor.com
taiwandefence.com
epcsur.com
mfhoudan.com
southstills.com
tvtv98.com
thewellington-hotel.com
bccaipiao.com
colectoresindustrialesgs.com
shenanddcg.com
capriartfilmfestival.com
replicabreitlingsale.com
thaiamarinnewtoncorner.com
gkmcww.com
mbnkbj.com
andrewbrennandesign.com
cod54.com
luobinzhang.com
faithfirst.net
zjyc28.com
tongchengjinyeyouyue0004.com
nhuan6.com
kftz5k.com
oldgardensflowers.com
lightupthefloor.com
bahamamamas-stjohns.com
ly2818.com
905onthebay.com
fonemenu.com
notanothermovie.com
ukrainehighclassescort.com
meincmagazine.com
av-5858.com
yallerdawg.com
donkeythemovie.com
corporatehospitalitygroup.com
boboyy88.com
miteinander-lernen.com
dannayconsulting.com
officialtomsshoesoutletstore.com
forsale-amoxil-amoxicillin.net
generictadalafil-canada.net
guitarlessonseastlondon.com
lesliesrestaurants.com
mattyno9.com
nri-homeloans.com
rtgvisas-qatar.com
salbutamolventolinonline.net
sportsinjuries.info
wedsna.com
rgkntk.com
bkkmarketplace.com
zxqcwx.com
breakupprogram.com
boxcardc.com
unblockyoutubeindonesia.com
fabulousbookmark.com
beat-the.com
guatemala-sailfishing-vacations-charters.com
magie-marketing.com
kingstonliteracy.com
guitaraffinity.com
eurelookinggoodapparel.com
howtolosecheekfat.net
marioncma.org
oliviadavismusic.com
shantelcampbellrealestate.com
shopleborn13.com
topindiafree.com
v-visitors.net
djjky.com
053hh.com
originbluei.com
baucishotel.com
33kkn.com
intrinsiqresearch.com
mariaescort-kiev.com
mymaguk.com
sponsored4u.com
crimsonclass.com
bataillenavale.com
searchtile.com
ze-stribrnych-struh.com
zenithalhype.com
modalpkv.com
bouisset-lafforgue.com
useupload.com
37r.net
autoankauf-muenster.com
bantinbongda.net
bilgius.com
brabustermagazine.com
indigrow.org
miicrosofts.net
mysmiletravel.com
selinasims.com
spellcubesapp.com
usa-faction.com
hypoallergenicdogsnames.com
dailyupdatez.com
foodphotographyreviews.com
cricutcom-setup.com
chprowebdesign.com
katyrealty-kanepa.com
tasramar.com
bilgipinari.org
four-am.com
indiarepublicday.com
inquick-enbooks.com
iracmpi.com
kakaschoenen.com
lsm99flash.com
nana1255.com
ngen-niagara.com
technwzs.com
virtualonlinecasino1345.com
wallpapertop.net
casino-natali.com
iprofit-internet.com
denochemexicana.com
eventhalfkg.com
medcon-taiwan.com
life-himawari.com
myriamshomes.com
nightmarevue.com
healthandfitnesslives.com
androidnews-jp.com
allstarsru.com
bestofthebuckeyestate.com
bestofthefirststate.com
bestwireless7.com
britsmile.com
declarationintermittent.com
findhereall.com
jingyou888.com
lsm99deal.com
lsm99galaxy.com
moozatech.com
nuagh.com
patliyo.com
philomenamagikz.net
rckouba.net
saturnunipessoallda.com
tallahasseefrolics.com
thematurehardcore.net
totalenvironment-inthatquietearth.com
velislavakaymakanova.com
vermontenergetic.com
kakakpintar.com
jerusalemdispatch.com
begorgeouslady.com
1800birks4u.com
2wheelstogo.com
6strip4you.com
bigdata-world.net
emailandco.net
gacapal.com
jharpost.com
krishnaastro.com
lsm99credit.com
mascalzonicampani.com
sitemapxml.org
thecityslums.net
topagh.com
flairnetwebdesign.com
rajasthancarservices.com
bangkaeair.com
beneventocoupon.com
noternet.org
oqtive.com
smilebrightrx.com
decollage-etiquette.com
1millionbestdownloads.com
7658.info
bidbass.com
devlopworldtech.com
digitalmarketingrajkot.com
fluginfo.net
naqlafshk.com
passion-decouverte.com
playsirius.com
spacceleratorintl.com
stikyballs.com
top10way.com
yokidsyogurt.com
zszyhl.com
16firthcrescent.com
abogadolaboralistamd.com
apk2wap.com
aromacremeria.com
banparacard.com
bosmanraws.com
businessproviderblog.com
caltonosa.com
calvaryrevivalchurch.org
chastenedsoulwithabrokenheart.com
cheminotsgardcevennes.com
cooksspot.com
cqxzpt.com
deesywig.com
deltacartoonmaps.com
despixelsetdeshommes.com
duocoracaobrasileiro.com
fareshopbd.com
goodpainspills.com
hemendekor.com
kobisitecdn.com
makaigoods.com
mgs1454.com
piccadillyresidences.com
radiolaondafresca.com
rubendorf.com
searchengineimprov.com
sellmyhrvahome.com
shugahouseessentials.com
sonihullquad.com
subtractkilos.com
valeriekelmansky.com
vipasdigitalmarketing.com
voolivrerj.com
worldhealthstory.com
zeelonggroup.com
1015southrockhill.com
10x10b.com
111-online-casinos.com
191cb.com
3665arpentunitd.com
aitesonics.com
bag-shokunin.com
brightotech.com
communication-digitale-services.com
covoakland.org
dariaprimapack.com
freefortniteaccountss.com
gatebizglobal.com
global1entertainmentnews.com
greatytene.com
hiroshiwakita.com
iktodaypk.com
jahatsakong.com
meadowbrookgolfgroup.com
newsbharati.net
platinumstudiosdesign.com
slotxogamesplay.com
strikestaruk.com
techguroh.com
trucosdefortnite.com
ufabetrune.com
weddedtowhitmore.com
12940brycecanyonunitb.com
1311dietrichoaks.com
2monarchtraceunit303.com
601legendhill.com
850elaine.com
adieusolasomade.com
andora-ke.com
bestslotxogames.com
cannagomcallen.com
endlesslyhot.com
iestpjva.com
ouqprint.com
pwmaplefest.com
qtylmr.com
rb88betting.com
buscadogues.com
1007macfm.com
born-wild.com
growthinvests.com
promocode-casino.com
proyectogalgoargentina.com
wbthompson-art.com
whitemountainwheels.com
7thavehvl.com
developmethis.com
funkydogbowties.com
travelodgegrandjunction.com
gao-town.com
globalmarketsuite.com
blogshippo.com
hdbka.com
proboards67.com
outletonline-michaelkors.com
kalkis-research.com
thuthuatit.net
buckcash.com
hollistercanada.com
docterror.com
asadart.com
vmayke.org
erwincomputers.com
dirimart.org
okkii.com
loteriasdecehegin.com
mountanalog.com
healingtaobritain.com
ttxmonitor.com
nwordpress.com
11bolabonanza.com