The striking stat fueling Acu?a's historic campaign

Drop in strikeout rate from 2022-23 is 2nd largest in AL/NL history

September 27th, 2023

If there*s a word you associate with , it might be ※loud,§ in all the best ways. His home runs are loud. His rocket throws from right field are loud. All the stolen bases, especially in big spots, are loud; the bat flips and celebrations are all loud, understandably. If not for Mookie Betts having a phenomenal season of his own, Acu?a would have had a unanimous MVP NL Award locked up months ago, and it's looking likely he's going to finish first regardless.

There*s nothing wrong with loud, because that*s fun, and exciting. But there*s something else Acu?a is doing in the midst of his magical season that*s just about as impressive as anything else he*s doing, and it demands our attention as well. It*s not loud. It*s decidedly old school. It*s about making contact.

For the first five seasons of his career, Acu?a struck out between 23% and 30% of the time he came to the plate, which is slightly higher than average, but nothing out of the ordinary for a power hitter in today*s game. Last year, it was 23.6%, exactly the same as it had been in 2021.

Yet this year, he*s down to striking out just 11% of the time, sixth-lowest rate in baseball entering Tuesday. He*s cut his strikeout rate by more than half, and without the associated drop in power you often see when a hitter prioritizes contact. Acu?a is striking out less than Nico Hoerner or Masataka Yoshida. All of a sudden, he*s making contact like he*s choked-up-on-the-bat-going-all-out-for-contact Jeff McNeil, except he*s doing it with 216 more points of slugging.

It*s such an impressive drop from last year 每 it's down by half! Who does that?! 每 that it felt like it had to stand out historically, and as it turns out, it does. In the history of AL/NL ball, among the thousands and thousands of seasons where a batter had two consecutive seasons in which he qualified for the batting title, there*s only one larger drop in strikeout rate, and it came decades ago.

※Now when he strikes out,§ Atlanta hitting coach Kevin Seitzer said when asked recently about Acu?a*s season, ※it's like we're going, 'What the heck, how come he struck out? He never strikes out.*§

There are caveats all around, of course. Belanger*s drop came after rules were changed following the ※Year of the Pitcher§ to increase offense. Acu?a*s feat has to come with a disclaimer as well, in that it*s pretty hard to cut your strikeout rate if you didn*t first strike out a lot already 每 that is, it*s not exactly fair to ask Luis Arraez or Steven Kwan now, or Tony Gwynn in the 1980s, or Joe DiMaggio in the 1940s, and so on, to cut an already-miniscule whiff rate even further.

So there*s that, but what he*s done in the context of today*s game still stands out 每 and there is, incredibly, this: The month with Acu?a*s highest strikeout rate this year was April, and it kept on dropping. Now, in September, he*s managed to whiff in just 8% of his at bats (MLB seventh-lowest rate this month) 每 while also slugging .727 (the fifth-best). He's continuing to whiff less and hit for more power while he's doing it.

But how? That*s the tricky part.

You*d think, perhaps, that Acu?a is swinging less. (Not really, in a meaningful way.) You*d definitely expect that he*d be chasing outside the zone less often. (Yes, but only a little.) Maybe he*s watching fewer called strikes go by. (Nope; it*s exactly as often as last year.)

Instead, it*s as simple as this: When he swings, he misses less than he used to.

That*s it. His contact rate is 84%. Last year it was 77%. When he swings in the zone, he*s making more contact, with 86% being up from 80%. When he swings outside the zone, he*s making more contact, with 68% being up from 60%. No matter where the ball is, he's just getting wood on it more often.

※He's always had real good strike zone discipline,§ as Seitzer noted, ※but he's had a lot of swing and miss in certain areas.§

That backs up the data, and it*s easy to see exactly where it*s happening. Against offspeed pitches, his swing-and-miss is unchanged. Against breaking pitches, his swing-and-miss rate is down a touch. But against fastballs, it*s down enormously, from 23% to 14%.

※[In the past, he*s had a] tough time with high fastballs, you know, he's had some places where pitchers could go if they could get it there that he was vulnerable,§ said Seitzer.

That*s not so true this year, as Lance Lynn found out when he tried to hit the top of the zone on Aug. 31. Four hundred and twenty-nine feet later, it was a grand slam to the Dodger Stadium bleachers.

It*s also not just about getting hits on those high fastballs. Sometimes, it*s just about not getting beat, even if it doesn*t immediately turn into a hit. What we mean by that can be seen in the following set of videos, the first two of which assuredly will not end up on any of the numerous highlight reels that will recap Acu?a*s incredible season.

Back in June, having already led off the game with a first-pitch homer on a fastball low in the zone, Acu?a engaged in a nine-pitch second-inning battle with Minnesota*s Joe Ryan, best known for his invisible fastball delivered from a low release point. Five of those nine pitches were four-seam fastballs, up.

Acu?a swung through the first one but managed to work the count to 2-2. Ryan went up with the four-seamer, looking for that high strikeout.

After a splitter in the dirt pushed the count full, Acu?a fouled off an inside splitter, and Ryan went back upstairs.

Unable to put Acu?a away with his high fastball, Ryan went back low with a splitter. It didn*t end well.

What this shows is that on fastballs along the high edge of the zone, Acu?a has turned whiffs into fouls. After fouling off 38% of swings at those high fastballs last year, it*s 49% this year; at the same time, after swinging through 44% of those high fastballs last year, it*s down to 33% this year. A foul doesn*t put a run on the board, but it keeps you from walking back to the dugout until you get a pitch you like better, too.

So: Can it really be all about health? After all, it*s not like Acu?a was striking out at Kwan-like levels prior to the 2021 knee injury that interrupted his career. Seitzer pointed out physical impact, saying ※it comes back to the health aspect where his lower half is firing the way it's supposed to, which makes him not have to force it so much with his upper body,§ but he also made an interesting point about experience -- or the surprising lack of it for a player now in his sixth Major League season.

※Really, you look at it, it's been a long time since he's been completely healthy and had a full season, you know?§

It can be argued that Acu?a had only had one previously healthy full season, back in 2019, given that 2020 was a shortened year, 2021 was the injury, and 2022 was, by all indications, a somewhat tentative return to the field. Acu?a is simultaneously a veteran of more than 3,000 Major League plate appearances and a player young enough that he was younger than several of the players who received votes in last year's Rookie of the Year balloting. Not only has it been a long time since we've seen a full year at full health, but a lot of roadblocks have been thrown into his developmental process.

※Last year, he wasn't healthy. This year, he's ultra-healthy and he's playing with confidence that we haven't seen for a long time,§ Seitzer said. ※It's been ultra-impressive.§

It*s hard to disagree.

MLB.com*s Mark Bowman contributed to the reporting of this article.

seductrice.net
universo-virtual.com
buytrendz.net
thisforall.net
benchpressgains.com
qthzb.com
mindhunter9.com
dwjqp1.com
secure-signup.net
ahaayy.com
tressesindia.com
puresybian.com
krpano-chs.com
cre8workshop.com
hdkino.org
peixun021.com
qz786.com
utahperformingartscenter.org
worldqrmconference.com
shangyuwh.com
eejssdfsdfdfjsd.com
playminecraftfreeonline.com
trekvietnamtour.com
your-business-articles.com
essaywritingservice10.com
hindusamaaj.com
joggingvideo.com
wandercoups.com
wormblaster.net
tongchengchuyange0004.com
internetknowing.com
breachurch.com
peachesnginburlesque.com
dataarchitectoo.com
clientfunnelformula.com
30pps.com
cherylroll.com
ks2252.com
prowp.net
webmanicura.com
sofietsshotel.com
facetorch.com
nylawyerreview.com
apapromotions.com
shareparelli.com
goeaglepointe.com
thegreenmanpubphuket.com
karotorossian.com
publicsensor.com
taiwandefence.com
epcsur.com
southstills.com
tvtv98.com
thewellington-hotel.com
bccaipiao.com
colectoresindustrialesgs.com
shenanddcg.com
capriartfilmfestival.com
replicabreitlingsale.com
thaiamarinnewtoncorner.com
gkmcww.com
mbnkbj.com
andrewbrennandesign.com
cod54.com
luobinzhang.com
faithfirst.net
zjyc28.com
tongchengjinyeyouyue0004.com
nhuan6.com
kftz5k.com
oldgardensflowers.com
lightupthefloor.com
bahamamamas-stjohns.com
ly2818.com
905onthebay.com
fonemenu.com
notanothermovie.com
ukrainehighclassescort.com
meincmagazine.com
av-5858.com
yallerdawg.com
donkeythemovie.com
corporatehospitalitygroup.com
boboyy88.com
miteinander-lernen.com
dannayconsulting.com
officialtomsshoesoutletstore.com
forsale-amoxil-amoxicillin.net
generictadalafil-canada.net
guitarlessonseastlondon.com
lesliesrestaurants.com
mattyno9.com
nri-homeloans.com
rtgvisas-qatar.com
salbutamolventolinonline.net
sportsinjuries.info
wedsna.com
rgkntk.com
bkkmarketplace.com
zxqcwx.com
breakupprogram.com
boxcardc.com
unblockyoutubeindonesia.com
fabulousbookmark.com
beat-the.com
guatemala-sailfishing-vacations-charters.com
magie-marketing.com
kingstonliteracy.com
guitaraffinity.com
eurelookinggoodapparel.com
howtolosecheekfat.net
marioncma.org
oliviadavismusic.com
shantelcampbellrealestate.com
shopleborn13.com
topindiafree.com
v-visitors.net
djjky.com
053hh.com
originbluei.com
baucishotel.com
33kkn.com
intrinsiqresearch.com
mariaescort-kiev.com
mymaguk.com
sponsored4u.com
crimsonclass.com
bataillenavale.com
searchtile.com
ze-stribrnych-struh.com
zenithalhype.com
modalpkv.com
bouisset-lafforgue.com
useupload.com
37r.net
autoankauf-muenster.com
bantinbongda.net
bilgius.com
brabustermagazine.com
indigrow.org
miicrosofts.net
mysmiletravel.com
selinasims.com
spellcubesapp.com
usa-faction.com
hypoallergenicdogsnames.com
dailyupdatez.com
foodphotographyreviews.com
cricutcom-setup.com
chprowebdesign.com
katyrealty-kanepa.com
tasramar.com
bilgipinari.org
four-am.com
indiarepublicday.com
inquick-enbooks.com
iracmpi.com
kakaschoenen.com
lsm99flash.com
nana1255.com
ngen-niagara.com
technwzs.com
virtualonlinecasino1345.com
wallpapertop.net
casino-natali.com
iprofit-internet.com
denochemexicana.com
eventhalfkg.com
medcon-taiwan.com
life-himawari.com
myriamshomes.com
nightmarevue.com
healthandfitnesslives.com
androidnews-jp.com
allstarsru.com
bestofthebuckeyestate.com
bestofthefirststate.com
bestwireless7.com
britsmile.com
declarationintermittent.com
findhereall.com
jingyou888.com
lsm99deal.com
lsm99galaxy.com
moozatech.com
nuagh.com
patliyo.com
philomenamagikz.net
rckouba.net
saturnunipessoallda.com
tallahasseefrolics.com
thematurehardcore.net
totalenvironment-inthatquietearth.com
velislavakaymakanova.com
vermontenergetic.com
kakakpintar.com
begorgeouslady.com
1800birks4u.com
2wheelstogo.com
6strip4you.com
bigdata-world.net
emailandco.net
gacapal.com
jharpost.com
krishnaastro.com
lsm99credit.com
mascalzonicampani.com
sitemapxml.org
thecityslums.net
topagh.com
flairnetwebdesign.com
rajasthancarservices.com
bangkaeair.com
beneventocoupon.com
noternet.org
oqtive.com
smilebrightrx.com
decollage-etiquette.com
1millionbestdownloads.com
7658.info
bidbass.com
devlopworldtech.com
digitalmarketingrajkot.com
fluginfo.net
naqlafshk.com
passion-decouverte.com
playsirius.com
spacceleratorintl.com
stikyballs.com
top10way.com
yokidsyogurt.com
zszyhl.com
16firthcrescent.com
abogadolaboralistamd.com
apk2wap.com
aromacremeria.com
banparacard.com
bosmanraws.com
businessproviderblog.com
caltonosa.com
calvaryrevivalchurch.org
chastenedsoulwithabrokenheart.com
cheminotsgardcevennes.com
cooksspot.com
cqxzpt.com
deesywig.com
deltacartoonmaps.com
despixelsetdeshommes.com
duocoracaobrasileiro.com
fareshopbd.com
goodpainspills.com
hemendekor.com
kobisitecdn.com
makaigoods.com
mgs1454.com
piccadillyresidences.com
radiolaondafresca.com
rubendorf.com
searchengineimprov.com
sellmyhrvahome.com
shugahouseessentials.com
sonihullquad.com
subtractkilos.com
valeriekelmansky.com
vipasdigitalmarketing.com
voolivrerj.com
zeelonggroup.com
1015southrockhill.com
10x10b.com
111-online-casinos.com
191cb.com
3665arpentunitd.com
aitesonics.com
bag-shokunin.com
brightotech.com
communication-digitale-services.com
covoakland.org
dariaprimapack.com
freefortniteaccountss.com
gatebizglobal.com
global1entertainmentnews.com
greatytene.com
hiroshiwakita.com
iktodaypk.com
jahatsakong.com
meadowbrookgolfgroup.com
newsbharati.net
platinumstudiosdesign.com
slotxogamesplay.com
strikestaruk.com
trucosdefortnite.com
ufabetrune.com
weddedtowhitmore.com
12940brycecanyonunitb.com
1311dietrichoaks.com
2monarchtraceunit303.com
601legendhill.com
850elaine.com
adieusolasomade.com
andora-ke.com
bestslotxogames.com
cannagomcallen.com
endlesslyhot.com
iestpjva.com
ouqprint.com
pwmaplefest.com
qtylmr.com
rb88betting.com
buscadogues.com
1007macfm.com
born-wild.com
growthinvests.com
promocode-casino.com
proyectogalgoargentina.com
wbthompson-art.com
whitemountainwheels.com
7thavehvl.com
developmethis.com
funkydogbowties.com
travelodgegrandjunction.com
gao-town.com
globalmarketsuite.com
blogshippo.com
hdbka.com
proboards67.com
outletonline-michaelkors.com
kalkis-research.com
thuthuatit.net
buckcash.com
hollistercanada.com
docterror.com
asadart.com
vmayke.org
erwincomputers.com
dirimart.org
okkii.com
loteriasdecehegin.com
mountanalog.com
healingtaobritain.com
ttxmonitor.com
nwordpress.com
11bolabonanza.com