This story was excerpted from MLB Pipeline's newsletter. To read the full newsletter, click here. And subscribe to get it regularly in your inbox.

Santa isn't the only one making a list and checking it twice. We're putting the finishing touches on our preseason Draft Top 100, which we'll unveil on Thursday night with the usual assortment of scouting reports, tools grades and videos.

How has the Draft Top 100 fared in terms of projecting the eventual No. 1 overall pick? And where has the top selection been ranked? Let's take a look at the last five years:

2024
No. 1 ranking: JJ Wetherholt, SS, West Virginia (went 7th)
No. 1 pick: Travis Bazzana, 2B, Oregon State (ranked 3rd)
Coming off winning the 2023 NCAA Division I batting title (.449), Wetherholt was considered the best pure hitter in the class. While he dealt with hamstring injuries for much of his junior season, Bazzana wrested that title from him by slashing .407/.568/.911 with an Oregon State-record 28 homers. Bazzana became the first Australian ever to headline a Draft, while the Cardinals may have gotten a steal by having Wetherholt fall in their laps at No. 7.

2023
No. 1 ranking: Dylan Crews, OF, Louisiana State (went 2nd)
No. 1 pick: Paul Skenes, RHP, Louisiana State (ranked 4th)
Southeastern Conference stars Crews, Chase Dollander (Tennessee) and Wyatt Langford (Florida) were the clear big three heading into 2023, but Skenes already was starting to make a push after a spectacular fall during which some scouts wondered if he was the best pitching prospect they ever had seen. Crews won his second straight SEC player of the year award but couldn't hold off Skenes, who broke a league record with 209 strikeouts in 122 2/3 innings and nearly won the D-I pitching triple crown. LSU captured the College World Series championship before becoming the first school ever to produce the top first two picks in a single Draft.

2022
No. 1 ranking: Druw Jones, OF, HS/Georgia (went 2nd)
No. 1 pick: Jackson Holliday, SS, HS/Oklahoma (ranked 52nd)
Family ties were abundant in the 2022 Draft. The son of five-time All-Star and 10-time Gold Glover Andruw Jones, Druw was bigger and leaner than his dad at the same stage of their careers and exuded similar five-tool potential. Holliday had less physicality and a different profile than his father, seven-time All-Star Matt, and he projected as more of a second-rounder following an uneven summer on the showcase circuit where he sold out for power too much. Holliday wowed scouts from the start of his senior season, however, getting bigger and stronger while improving his tools across the board. He broke J.T. Realmuto's national high school record for hits in a season with 89 in 41 games while batting .685/.749/1.392.

2021
No. 1 ranking: Kumar Rocker, RHP, Vanderbilt (went 10th)
No. 1 pick: Henry Davis, C, Louisville (ranked 26th)
Rocker topped D-I with 14 victories and tied for the strikeout lead with 179 in 122 innings, but his velocity fluctuated during the 2021 season and he wasn't even the first pitcher selected from Vanderbilt -- Jack Leiter went No. 2 overall. The Mets agreed to a $6 million bonus with Rocker at No. 10, only to walk away from the deal after he failed a post-Draft physical. Following shoulder surgery and a stint in independent ball, Rocker went to the Rangers at No. 3 in 2022, had Tommy John surgery the following year and made his long-anticipated big league debut this September. Davis was the consensus top college bat available, though there were concerns about his ability to remain behind the plate that have proven well-founded. The Pirates popped Davis at No. 1 in part because his $6.5 million bonus came in at $1.9 million under slot, allowing them to afford over-budget deals for their next three picks (Anthony Solometo, Lonnie White, Bubba Chandler).