Where might Tucker fit? Breaking down possible trade options

December 11th, 2024

Astros general manager Dana Brown said Monday at the Winter Meetings that Houston is receptive to trading anyone, including right fielder , if it means improving the roster. It appears those comments weren¡¯t just posturing by Brown.

On Wednesday morning, MLB Network insider Joel Sherman reported for the New York Post that Tucker is "seen as more and more likely to be traded."

A three-time All-Star, Tucker has cemented himself as one of the top outfielders in the game over the past four years, producing 112 homers, 360 RBIs, 80 stolen bases, a 145 OPS+ and 21.2 WAR (per Baseball Reference). He missed considerable time with a right shin fracture in 2024 but finished the season with 23 homers and a career-high .993 OPS over 78 games. Replacing that production wouldn¡¯t be easy for the Astros.

However, Tucker is due to reach free agency after the 2025 season. He will do so entering his age-29 campaign, putting him smack in the middle of where Juan Soto (26) and Aaron Judge (31) -- the two best recent comps -- were when they reached the open market. Assuming Tucker puts together a strong walk year, he ¡°figures to command a contract of at least $400 million to $500 million,¡± as Ken Rosenthal wrote in The Athletic (subscription required).

Per Sherman, the Yankees, Cubs, Giants and Phillies have all expressed interest in acquiring Tucker. The Bronx Bombers were also linked to Tucker by MLB.com's Mark Feinsand on Tuesday.

With the help of MLB.com's beat reporters, here's a breakdown of Tucker's trade market from the perspective of all of the teams involved.

Astros
Tucker will likely make more than $15 million in arbitration this year and could be the biggest name on the free agent market in a year, meaning staying in Houston would be extremely unlikely. If the Astros could free up some payroll and get a couple of controllable, quality players or upper-level prospects who are close to big league ready, trading Tucker would make sense. -- Brian McTaggart

Yankees
Tucker¡¯s appeal is clear: a left-handed hitter who could take advantage of Yankee Stadium¡¯s dimensions while offering Gold Glove-caliber defense. He has played most of his career in right field, but with Aaron Judge expected to return to that position in 2025, the Yankees would use Tucker to cover the more challenging expanse of left field in the Bronx. The Astros are said to be interested in reigning AL Rookie of the Year Luis Gil. The Yanks¡¯ rotation was bolstered this week by their pending eight-year agreement with left-hander Max Fried. Alternatively, the Yankees may dangle right-hander Clarke Schmidt, now possessing seven starting pitchers on their roster. Asked directly about the likelihood of contacting the Astros about Tucker, Yankees general manager Brian Cashman said that he ¡°would expect us to have conversations with all teams about what availabilities players we like on their rosters are, as well as all agents with players in free agency that we like too. We¡¯ll check every box and ascertain price tags.¡± -- Bryan Hoch

Cubs
If the Cubs want to upgrade their offense for 2025, it's essential for them to explore the trade market. And one thing Chicago has lacked in recent seasons is a star-caliber bat to anchor the middle. The Cubs have been open-minded to listening to trade offers for both Cody Bellinger and Seiya Suzuki, among others. If one of those two were moved, it would clear a path for an impact bat, and clearly Tucker fits the profile. Beyond the MLB roster, the Cubs also have a surplus of Top 100 prospects to use in trade talks. That includes top prospect Matt Shaw (No. 22 overall), whose path to Chicago is likely at second or third base. That is why names like Nico Hoerner and Isaac Paredes have popped up in trade chatter as well. -- Jordan Bastian

Giants
Even after signing shortstop Willy Adames to a seven-year, $182 million deal, the Giants could use more punch in their lineup, particularly from the left side. Tucker could provide that, along with elite defense in the corners, giving the Giants the ability to use Mike Yastrzemski as a fourth outfielder or trade bait. San Francisco could offer the Astros a package centered around Casey Schmitt, a 25-year-old infielder who is viewed as a Gold Glove-caliber third baseman but is now blocked from his best position by Matt Chapman. Schmitt struggled mightily at the plate as a rookie, but he took a step forward offensively in 2024, logging a .760 OPS with six homers over 40 games. A 2020 second-round Draft pick, Schmitt won¡¯t be arbitration-eligible until 2027 and is under team control through 2029. -- Maria Guardado

Phillies
The Phillies want to upgrade their lineup, and they need somebody who can play in the outfield. For those reasons, Tucker seems like a perfect fit. But the assumed cost might be too steep. Asked about the price tag for Garrett Crochet, which included two Top 100 prospects, Phillies president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski said on Wednesday that he wasn¡¯t sure ¡°if it was the right time for us to do that.¡± And Crochet has two years of team control. Tucker has one. Maybe that lowers the price for Tucker. Maybe not. Don¡¯t be surprised if the Phillies take a serious run at Tucker, but don¡¯t bet big on the possibility either. -- Todd Zolecki

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