5 clubs on the spot after Burnes' deal with D-backs
You surely woke up Saturday morning with the same reaction that most of us had: ¡°Whoa, Corbin Burnes is heading to the Diamondbacks? Didn¡¯t see that coming!¡±
Burnes is a Scottsdale, Ariz., resident, so we probably should have sniffed something out. But after weeks of reports that the Giants and Blue Jays were the clubhouse leaders -- and the D-backs not exactly expected to swing so big for starting pitching -- it was undeniably surprising. Now that we know the terms of the reported deal -- six years, $210 million, according to MLB.com¡¯s own Mark Feinsand -- we can try to get our arms around it.
It's obviously a massive moment for the D-backs, who suddenly have one of the best rotations in the National League and an unprecedented number of Corbins. But how does it affect the rest of baseball? Here¡¯s a look at five teams now on the spot in the wake of the deal.
Orioles
The Orioles have built one of the more formidable talent machines in all of baseball. They¡¯ve got more position player prospects than they have space for, and they have MVP candidates wherever you look. They¡¯ve got a fanbase that has waited decades for their moment to arrive, and they have a new ownership group that, ostensibly, is in position to start taking some big swings.
So why are fans tearing their hair out? Well, the brutal postseason exits of the last two years are the primary reason, but another is the seeming lack of aggression in adding parts to that young core. The only real big swing they¡¯ve taken over the past two offseasons was trading for Burnes, and now he¡¯s gone after one year. They still haven¡¯t landed a big free agent -- the most expensive player on this team is ¡ Zach Eflin? The fourth-highest-paid player is Gary S¨¢nchez! Their rotation now looks like it has five respectable No. 3 starters, barring a big step forward from 25-year-old Grayson Rodriguez. This should be the time for Orioles fans. But it sure doesn¡¯t feel that way, does it?
Giants
The Giants are, in fact, spending money on top free agents. They have four guys -- Matt Chapman, Robbie Ray, Logan Webb and Jung Hoo Lee -- who will be making more than $22.8 million in 2026, after all, and that doesn¡¯t even count the big (but backloaded) deal they just gave to Willy Adames. Yet there is still a feeling that the biggest fish keeps getting away from them. Burnes joins Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Bryce Harper as top-shelf free agents that the Giants couldn¡¯t reel in. (Of course, Carlos Correa is a whole other story.)
New Giants president of baseball operations Buster Posey has been open about his desire to bring in veterans, and, as mentioned, the Giants were considered one of the favorites for Burnes from the beginning. With the addition of Adames and the return of Lee from a dislocated shoulder, the Giants should be somewhat better in 2025. But their rotation still needs help, despite the presence of Webb at the top, and one of their main division rivals just got a lot better. The Giants seem a little farther behind right now than when the offseason started.
Blue Jays
All right, so now what do the Blue Jays do? No team is facing more of an existential crisis in 2025. They¡¯ve got both Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette heading into the final year of their respective contracts with no concrete evidence of forthcoming extensions. To try to take advantage of their current window of contention, the Blue Jays have attempted to lure one free agent after another, from Ohtani to Juan Soto to Burnes. They¡¯ve missed on all of them.
Now, they¡¯re right back where they started -- trying to make one last run, with a team that lost 88 games and finished in last place in the AL East in 2024. The Jays¡¯ trade with the Guardians for slick-fielding second baseman Andr¨¦s Gim¨¦nez was a reasonable deal, but also one that needed to be paired with another big move -- like, say, signing Burnes.
Meanwhile, the rest of baseball waits to see if Toronto will fall far enough behind to consider sending off Vlad Jr. or Bichette at the Trade Deadline. (Or Kevin Gausman, for that matter.) If they get off to a slow start this year, the vultures will be circling immediately. The Jays look as wobbly and uncertain as any team in baseball right now, and time is running out to change that outlook.
Dodgers
Teoscar Hern¨¢ndez¡¯s return made a ton of sense and assured us, once more, that there is no force in baseball more difficult to reckon with than the Dodgers. But it is to the credit of the rest of the NL West that no one is ceding anything to them. The Padres were this close to taking them down last year, and now the Diamondbacks -- who, lest any of us forget, went to the World Series 14 months ago after sweeping L.A. in the NLDS -- have taken their big step forward.
The Blake Snell signing showed that the Dodgers are trying to address their biggest weakness (and hey, don¡¯t forget that other pitcher they¡¯re adding to the rotation this year, the one who also happens to be an MVP-winning slugger), but you could still make an argument that the Diamondbacks¡¯ rotation, with Burnes at the top, is superior. The Dodgers are the best team in baseball. But they may also, now, be playing in the best division in baseball.
Mets
We¡¯ve reached the point where any time someone else spends a whole bunch of money on a player, you can¡¯t help but look at the Mets, and deep-pocketed owner Steve Cohen, and ask, ¡°Hey, couldn¡¯t you have done that?¡± Obviously, Cohen has hardly been demure and reticent this offseason. But for all the rotation additions the Mets made this offseason, they mostly have been treading water in that area.
Sean Manaea was re-signed, while Frankie Montas and Clay Holmes have stepped in for Luis Severino and Jose Quintana. There still isn¡¯t really a bona fide ace here -- unless perhaps Kodai Senga proves himself healthy and back in peak form -- and with Burnes now in Phoenix, there aren¡¯t any of those left on the free-agent market.
The Mets are loaded, but as of now, you¡¯d expect any other contending team in the National League to have a clear rotation edge over them in a short series. The Mets have a workable veteran rotation, but no one who scares you in October. This team has spent several boatloads of cash this offseason, but it¡¯s still fair to wonder if there is a piece missing here.