Pirates have tight second-base race heading into camp

January 31st, 2024

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We are two weeks away from spring camp opening up. Buckle up.

There will be a few competitions for starting positions on the Pirates¡¯ roster, but none more complex and wide open than the second-base spot. There are a handful of players who could claim their stake here, or the Pirates could mix and match for much of the season, depending on the opposing starter.

Let¡¯s look at the pros, the cons and the likelihood of each second-base option earning a starting job come April.


Pro: Bae is the fastest player the Pirates have right now and one of the quickest league-wide. His average home-to-first time of 4.05 seconds was the best mark in MLB in 2023, and his 29.7 feet/second sprint speed was tied for the 16th fastest in MLB.

Con: Bae doesn¡¯t get on base enough to really let his speed set up runs. He had a .296 OBP in 2023, and it was worse in the second half (.288). He also doesn¡¯t provide much of a power threat and tends to create doubles through speed on gap-to-gap base hits, notching only two homers last season and posting the sixth-lowest barrel per plate appearance rate (1.3%) out of 258 MLB batters.

Likelihood: It¡¯s unlikely Bae will get the majority of the reps, as his bat doesn¡¯t have much staying power. On the other hand, if he can build on his experience from last season, he could have some use as a fourth outfielder who can contribute in center field, given his speed.

Nick Gonzales
Pro: Gonzales also has above-average speed, so he¡¯s a threat when he¡¯s on base. He has hit at every level of the Minors, batting .288 across three levels in his career. Plus, he showed he has a touch of power with 14 homers in 99 games at Triple-A despite being seen as a contact-over-power hitter by some evaluators.

Con: That didn¡¯t show up in Gonzales¡¯ first month of Major League action. He only hit .209, and he in turn saw his on-base percentage fall off sharply to .268.

Likelihood: I still think there¡¯s hope here for the Pirates given his track record, but I don¡¯t see him as the starter unless he has a Kevin Newman-level spring.


Pro: Peguero has arguably the best power potential of this group. His EV50 -- which is a measure of exit velocity on the top 50% of a batter¡¯s batted balls in play that helps filter out some clear mis-hits -- is 100.2 mph. Every other candidate¡¯s EV50 is under 100 mph, and some by a healthy margin. He¡¯s also the second-fastest player on the team behind Bae.

Con: Despite that, Peguero still got on base at only a .280 clip last season, so he was able to attempt only eight stolen bases. He also had a meager .374 slugging percentage with an even lower .328 expected slugging percentage due to inconsistent contact and more than half of his balls in play being grounders.

Likelihood: I see Peguero as the likeliest candidate to see a majority of reps at second base thanks to his power-speed combo potential.

Jared Triolo
Pro: Triolo had the best debut you could ask for. In 54 big league games, his batting average (.298) and on-base percentage (.388) were higher than his average and OBP in the Minor Leagues (.284 and .370, respectively). He¡¯s also a Minor League Gold Glove defender at third base and can play virtually any position on the infield dirt.

Con: It¡¯s not a con yet, but one must consider how tough a sophomore season can go once the league adjusts to your successes. And this is not a con, but it is a deterrent for his playing time at second: The fact that Triolo carries four gloves because of his utility defensively makes it seem less likely he sticks at second vs. bounces around.

Likelihood: I think Triolo sees the most playing time generally of anyone here, but his versatility may keep him from being the ¡°everyday¡± second baseman.


Pro: Whatever the Pirates told Williams to focus on after he was acquired in the Robert Stephenson trade worked immediately at Triple-A. He put up a .915 OPS with eight doubles and seven homers in 36 games with Indianapolis. His 28.2 feet per second sprint speed is better than the average second baseman¡¯s velocity, and he has a decent glove.

Con: It didn¡¯t translate in the Major Leagues in his debut 2023 season, and he doesn¡¯t strike the ball hard enough to give much hope that his offense will be more than just average at best. His average exit velocity of 83.3 mph and hard-hit rate of 25.8% are very low compared to the MLB averages for those numbers.

Likelihood: I see Williams needing the strongest spring just to get playing time, much less the starting job.

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