?The best-projected players to change teams, so far
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Juan Soto will wear a new uniform in 2025. So will Kyle Tucker. Garrett Crochet, too.
Within the past week, three of MLB¡¯s best -- let alone Max Fried, Isaac Paredes, Devin Williams and other stars -- have changed teams. And while plenty of top free agents and big-name trade targets are still out there, let¡¯s take a look at who might help their new clubs the most next season.
Here are the top players who have changed teams so far this offseason, ranked purely by their expected 2025 Wins Above Replacement (WAR), per FanGraphs¡¯ Steamer projections -- plus a few honorable mentions. (This doesn't count players who re-signed with the same team, such as Nathan Eovaldi with the Rangers.)
1. OF Juan Soto, Mets: 6.7 WAR
Soto has averaged 6.2 FanGraphs WAR over the past four seasons, so this projection is in line with his past production. That said, the 26-year-old outfielder hit 41 home runs, put up a .989 OPS and produced 8.1 fWAR in 2024 with the Yankees. He could easily meet or surpass that mark in his first season of a massive 15-year, $765 million deal with the Mets, but even if he doesn¡¯t, Soto has a good shot at leading the way in WAR among players debuting for new teams in 2025.
2. OF Kyle Tucker, Cubs: 5.1 WAR
Tucker played at a 8.7-fWAR 162-game pace in 2024, but he only played 78 games due to a fracture in his right shin. A 5.1-WAR campaign would be right in line with his 2021-23 production, in which he averaged 23 stolen bases, 30 homers and 104 RBIs a year while slashing .278/.353/.517. Now with the Cubs, Tucker might have to battle the gusts of the Windy City on fly balls on occasion, but he has a strong chance to put up a stellar year in his age-28 season.
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3. SP Garrett Crochet, Red Sox: 4.7 WAR
With 209 strikeouts in just 146 innings of work, Crochet leapt onto the scene in his first professional season as a starter. The Red Sox certainly hope the lefty¡¯s swing-and-miss stuff is worth the hefty price they paid to acquire him from Chicago, but if he can go deeper into games (Crochet averaged just 4.56 innings per start in 2024) he could very well be one of the most valuable starters in the Majors. Only three pitchers in MLB -- Paul Skenes, Jacob deGrom and Tarik Skubal -- are projected for more 2025 WAR than Crochet.
4. 3B Isaac Paredes, Astros: 3.8 WAR
Paredes was worth 3.4 fWAR in 2024, making the American League All-Star team before being traded to the Cubs. His 31-homer season the year before netted him 4.3 fWAR. Paredes' 2025 projection got a boost after he was included as a key piece of Houston¡¯s return for Tucker, in part because of his strong fit with the Astros. Paredes¡¯ dead pull power should very much help him when it comes to finding the Crawford Boxes at Daikin Park.
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5. SP Blake Snell, Dodgers: 3.6 WAR
Snell¡¯s first half of 2024 after signing a late free-agent deal with the Giants wasn¡¯t optimal: The 2023 National League Cy Young Award winner had a 9.51 ERA through his first six outings. But Snell was dominant from there, posting a 1.23 ERA with 114 strikeouts in 80 1/3 innings in his final 14 starts, including a no-hitter against the Reds on Aug. 2. It was the second straight monster second half for Snell, and it¡¯s what the Dodgers bet on when they signed him to a five-year, $182 million deal. If he can pitch all year like it¡¯s September, Snell has a great chance to lead all pitchers on new teams in WAR -- or perhaps even rival the likes of Soto or Tucker.
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6. SS Willy Adames, Giants: 3.5 WAR
Signed to a seven-year deal, Adames joins fellow free-agent acquisition Matt Chapman in a suddenly scary left side of the San Francisco infield. The shortstop set new career highs with 32 homers (including an MLB record-tying 13 three-run shots) and 112 RBIs in a potent offensive campaign in 2024. Adames racked up 4.8 fWAR in 2024 and could approach that mark once again if he can hit for power at Oracle Park -- not always an easy task.
7. SP Max Fried, Yankees: 3.3 WAR
Compare Fried¡¯s 3.3-WAR projection for 2025 to his actual results in 2024, when he posted a 3.25 ERA and 3.4 fWAR in 174 1/3 innings of work. The Yankees, who secured Fried¡¯s services on an eight-year, $218 million deal -- the biggest guaranteed contract for a left-handed pitcher in history -- would likely be just fine with another season like that. Fried is a big-ticket addition, but in a rotation with Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rodón, Luis Gil and Clarke Schmidt, simply having a solid, healthy 2025 will suffice.
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8. SP Yusei Kikuchi, Angels: 3.1 WAR
Kikuchi was stellar in his 10-start stint with the Astros in 2024, pitching to a 2.70 ERA with 76 strikeouts in 60 innings after being traded from the Blue Jays. His Houston tenure helped him on the free-agent market, where he landed a three-year, $63 million deal with the Halos. Kikuchi totaled 3.5 fWAR in 2024, his highest total in any season, and is projected to surpass the 3-WAR threshold again.
9. 2B Andrés Giménez, Blue Jays: 3.0 WAR
Gim¨¦nez¡¯s value is primarily driven by his glove -- but what a glove it is. The slick-fielding second baseman had 2.8 fWAR in 2024 despite a .638 OPS; when he slashed .297/.371/.466 in 2022, he was worth 6.1 fWAR. Gim¨¦nez will have to improve with his bat in order to play at that All-Star level again, but he could meet his 3-WAR projection on defense alone.
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10. SP Brady Singer, Reds: 2.3 WAR
Singer rebounded from a tough 2023 season, improving his ERA from 5.52 to 3.71 and putting up a 2.5-fWAR campaign in 2024. Moving from one hitters¡¯ park to another in terms of his home games probably won¡¯t help a ton, but the 2018 first-round Draft pick is projected to be a solid starter in his first year with the Reds.
11. SP Jeffrey Springs, Athletics: 2.2 WAR
Tommy John surgery limited Springs to only 10 starts from 2023-24. But since 2022, when the Rays moved him from the bullpen to the rotation early in the season, he owns a 2.44 ERA over 184 1/3 innings. If Springs can stay healthy and come anywhere close to approximating that after his trade to the A's, he could blow past this projection.
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12. 2B Jonathan India, Royals: 2.1 WAR
Not far below Singer is the man he was traded for (along with outfielder Joey Wiemer). India amassed 3.4 fWAR in his NL Rookie of the Year Award-winning 2021 campaign and hasn't met that mark again since, but his 2024 was better than the previous two seasons. Reluctant to chase pitches and happy to take his walks, India should bring his strong plate discipline to Kansas City to form a fun double-play tandem with Bobby Witt Jr.
13-T. SP Luis Severino, Athletics: 2.0 WAR
The largest guaranteed contract in A¡¯s history? It now belongs to Severino, who signed a three-year, $67 million deal to join the club¡¯s rotation. He was a solid part of the Mets¡¯ starting five in 2024, pitching to a 3.91 ERA in 31 starts, but that came after a dismal 6.65 ERA with the Yankees in 2023. If the good version of Severino shows up again, he can definitely meet his WAR projection.
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13-T. SP Alex Cobb, Tigers: 2.0 WAR
Dealing with several injuries, Cobb made just five starts with the Guardians in 2024 -- three in the regular season and two in the postseason. Still, he pitched well enough to command a $15 million deal from the Tigers for 2025. A solid rotation piece when healthy -- Cobb has a 3.75 ERA in 77 starts since 2021 -- the right-hander posted 5.5 fWAR from 2022-2023 with the Giants.
13-T. INF Spencer Horwitz, Pirates: 2.0 WAR
Horwitz impressed at the plate in his rookie year with the Blue Jays, mashing right-handed pitching and showing considerable patience. The centerpiece of Cleveland¡¯s trade return for Gim¨¦nez, he¡¯ll now get to show off his skills for the Pirates after being flipped to Pittsburgh the same day. At a 162-game pace, Horwitz accounted for 1.9 fWAR in 2024 -- with a similar level of production, he¡¯ll meet or be quite close to his FanGraphs projection.
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Honorable mentions
OF Tyler O'Neill, Orioles: 1.9 WAR
O¡¯Neill had a resurgent year with the Red Sox and should benefit from the reconfigured left-field wall in Baltimore.
SP Nestor Cortes, Brewers: 1.9 WAR
Cortes eclipsed the 3-WAR mark in two of the past three seasons with the Yankees, and he'll have every opportunity to do so again in Milwaukee.
SP Clay Holmes, Mets: 1.8 WAR
Not only is Holmes moving across town, but he¡¯s transitioning from the bullpen to the rotation, too.
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SP Frankie Montas, Mets: 1.8 WAR
Montas hasn¡¯t been the same pitcher since leaving the A¡¯s, but the Mets hope to recapture that form in 2025.
SP Matthew Boyd, Cubs: 1.7 WAR
Boyd¡¯s eight-start stint with the Guardians was strong enough (2.72 ERA) for the Cubs to take a gamble on the veteran lefty.
RP Devin Williams, Yankees: 0.7 WAR
WAR is not the best reflection of reliever value, but Williams is among the elite closers in the game. In fact, he leads all pitchers in win probability added (WPA) since his 2020 rookie season. So in terms of his actual 2025 impact, he could rank much higher.