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?Qu¨¦ esperar de Vladimir Jr. en los Azulejos?

26 de abril de 2019

El futuro de las Grandes Ligas se abrir¨¢ paso en Toronto la noche de este viernes, cuando el estelar prospecto dominicano Vladimir Guerrero Jr. har¨¢ su debut con los Azulejos ante los Atl¨¦ticos en el Rogers Centre.

Guerrero, de 20 a?os, se une a los Azulejos tras pasar las ¨²ltimas dos semanas con Triple-A Buffalo, donde atorment¨® a los lanzadores de la Liga Internacional gracias una l¨ªnea de .367/.424/.700 y tres jonrones en 12 juegos. La actuaci¨®n disip¨® cualquier duda sobre su salud, luego de que el joven se perdiera buena parte de los entrenamientos primaverales con un tir¨®n en un m¨²sculo oblicuo del costado izquierdo.

M¨¢s que el prospecto mejor ubicado en el escalaf¨®n de MLB Pipeline, Guerrero es una de las promesas m¨¢s esperadas en la historia del b¨¦isbol, una superestrella en potencia encaminada a dejar su huella desde ya y por mucho tiempo en las Grandes Ligas.

Como hijo del miembro del Sal¨®n de la Fama y Jugador M¨¢s Valioso de la Liga Americana en el 2004, Vladimir Guerrero, Vlad Jr. fue siempre visto como un prospecto ¨¦lite. As¨ª lo reconocieron los Azulejos al firmarlo por US$3.9 millones el 3 de julio del 2015.

Desde entonces, Guerrero se ha convertido en el mejor bateador de ligas menores, dejando n¨²meros impresionantes contra competidores de mayor edad y m¨¢s avanzados en cada nivel por el que pas¨®, al tiempo que demostraba una consistencia pocas veces vista en un jugador de su edad.

Entonces, ?qu¨¦ hace de este joven un bateador tan especial? Todo, b¨¢sicamente.

Para empezar, el ca?onero derecho es el ¨²nico jugador desde que MLB.com y MLB Pipeline empezaron a evaluar a los prospectos en el a?o 2004 en ser considerado un bateador con calificaci¨®n de 80, basado en la escala de 20 a 80 que usan los scouts, donde 50 es considerado promedio en Grandes Ligas.

El swing de Guerrero es tanto explosivo como extremadamente eficiente, con una combinaci¨®n de bate veloz, fortaleza y un control fant¨¢stico del madero que le permite pegarle consistentemente a la bola y mandarla a toda velocidad hacia cualquier parte del terreno. Impacta la bola con facilidad, generando contacto con el que pocos sue?an.

Adem¨¢s de sus atributos f¨ªsicos, el plan de ataque de Guerrero y su capacidad para hacer ajustes durante un turno son igualmente impresionantes. Gracias a su conocimiento de la zona de strike y a una habilidad para reconocer los pitcheos que lo diferencian de su padre, quien m¨¢s dado a hacerle swing a todo, Vladimir Jr. rara vez hace swing a lanzamientos malos y pocas veces se poncha.

Y aunque dispar¨® un tope personal de 20 jonrones hace un a?o y ha demostrado ya un poder excepcional en cada etapa de su carrera, Guerrero apenas ha empezado a tocar la superficie de su potencial como jonronero, que podr¨ªa llevarlo a dar 35 jonrones o m¨¢s cada a?o de forma consistente.

En cuanto a lo que se podr¨ªa esperar del muchacho en las Mayores este a?o, el programa de proyecciones Steamer predijo que ser¨ªa el 14to mejor jugador en la Gran Carpa en el 2019, con un WAR proyectado de 4.7 que lo ubica en la misma clase de Aaron Judge y Nolan Arenado y por delante de otros como Trea Turner y el venezolano Jos¨¦ Altuve.

?La l¨ªnea de bateo que estiman tendr¨¢ esta campa?a? Un rid¨ªculo .306/.368/.511, con 22 jonrones, en 138 juegos.

Que Guerrero pueda llegar a ese nivel de estrella como novato es algo que est¨¢ por verse, por supuesto, pero est¨¢ claro que va a batear. Y la idea de que todav¨ªa sigue mejorando y desarroll¨¢ndose deber¨ªa ya tener preocupados a los lanzadores de las Grandes Ligas.

Otra historia

El panorama defensivo de Guerrero en la tercera base es menos positivo.

Los Azulejos quedaron satisfechos con lo que avanz¨® en el 2018, notando que ha mejorado su forma f¨ªsica y su trabajo de pies en la posici¨®n. Tambi¨¦n demostr¨® un brazo m¨¢s fuerte que en campa?as anteriores --lo que le vali¨® elogios de los scouts-- adem¨¢s de unas manos confiables que siguen siendo su mejor atributo como defensor.

Todo eso hace de Guerrero un antesalista aceptable en estos momentos y es posible que permanezca all¨ª en los primeros a?os de su carrera.

Pero con su 6¡¯2 de estatura y 259 libras de peso, m¨¢s una velocidad y alcance por debajo del promedio a los 20 a?os, Guerrero tendr¨¢ una empinada cuesta que subir para mantenerse defendiendo la esquina caliente a largo plazo a nivel de Grandes Ligas. Lo m¨¢s probable es que se mueva a la primera base.

S¨ª, las expectativas que hay alrededor de Guerrero pueden parecer absurdamente elevadas y quiz¨¢s hasta inalcanzables. Pero si alg¨²n jugador va a cumplir con tal responsabilidad, es f¨¢cil pensar que ser¨¢ Vladi Jr.

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